| Literature DB >> 15213715 |
M M Vervoort1, G Draisma, J Fracheboud, L V van de Poll-Franse, H J de Koning.
Abstract
Adjuvant systemic therapy was introduced in the Netherlands as a breast cancer treatment in the early 1980s. In this paper, we describe the trends in the usage of adjuvant systemic treatment in the period 1975-1997 in the Netherlands. The main aim of our study was to assess the effects of adjuvant tamoxifen and polychemotherapy on breast cancer mortality, compared to the effects of the mammography screening programme. The computer simulation model MIcrosimulation SCreening ANalysis, which simulates demography, natural history of breast cancer and screening effects, was used to estimate the effects. Use of adjuvant therapy increased over time, but since 1990 it remained rather stable. Nowadays, adjuvant therapy is given to 88% of node-positive patients aged 50-69 years, while less than 10% of node-negative patients receive any kind of adjuvant treatment. Adjuvant treatment is given independent of the mode of detection (adjusted by nodal status and size). We predict that the reduction in breast cancer mortality due to adjuvant therapy is 7% in women aged 55-74 years, while the reduction due to screening, which was first implemented in women aged 50-69 years in 1990-97, will be 28-30% in 2007. In conclusion, although adjuvant systemic therapy can reduce breast cancer mortality rates, it is anticipated to be less than the mortality reduction caused by mammography screening.Entities:
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Year: 2004 PMID: 15213715 PMCID: PMC2409826 DOI: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6601969
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Br J Cancer ISSN: 0007-0920 Impact factor: 7.640
Hazard ratios and mean proportions of women using adjuvant therapy in 1990–97 in different MISCAN models
| Treatment and age | ||||
| Tamoxifen for 2 years, age <50 | 0.89 | 0.81 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Tamoxifen for 2 years, age 50–69 | 0.89 | 0.81 | 0.065 | 0.78 |
| Tamoxifen for 2 years, age 70+ | 0.89 | 0.81 | 0.065 | 0.85 |
| Chemotherapy, age <50 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.02 | 0.70 |
| Chemotherapy, age 50–69 | 0.89* | 0.89 | 0.01 | 0.12 |
| Chemotherapy, age 70+ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01 |
Data were obtained from the 1998 Early Breast Cancer Trialists' Collaborative Group meta-analysis of clinical trials (EBCTCG, 1998a, b).
Data were obtained from the NETB and the Eindhoven Cancer Registry.
Figure 1(A–C) Trends in the usage of tamoxifen and chemotherapy in 1975–97 in the Southeast region (ECR) and all regions of the Netherlands (NE), subdivided by age (source: Eindhoven Cancer Registry and NETB).
Adjuvant therapy by screening status and nodal status for age group 50–69 years in 1990–1997
| 1990 | 180 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 64 | 75.0 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 78.1 | 244 | 21.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 22.1 |
| 1991 | 422 | 6.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 6.8 | 170 | 62.9 | 10.0 | 7.1 | 80.0 | 592 | 22.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 27.9 |
| 1992 | 798 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3 | 307 | 73.9 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 83.6 | 1105 | 26.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 29.2 |
| 1993 | 985 | 7.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 343 | 74.9 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 83.7 | 1328 | 24.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 27.2 |
| 1994 | 1160 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 376 | 77.4 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 85.1 | 1536 | 21.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 23.0 |
| 1995 | 1146 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 4.1 | 415 | 79.3 | 7.2 | 2.9 | 89.4 | 1561 | 23.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 26.8 |
| 1996 | 1293 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 4.1 | 442 | 75.6 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 89.2 | 1735 | 22.1 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 25.8 |
| 1997 | 1300 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 5.9 | 448 | 78.4 | 16.1 | 3.6 | 98.1 | 1748 | 23.7 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 29.4 |
| 1990–97 | 7284 | 4.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 2565 | 75.8 | 8.6 | 3.5 | 87.9 | 9849 | 23.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 26.8 |
| 1990–97 | T1N0 | 4.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 4.8 | T1N1 | 74.9 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 86.9 | |||||
| T2+N0 | 9.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 10.7 | T2+N1 | 76.3 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 88.3 | ||||||
| 1990 | 1062 | 8.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 9.8 | 792 | 72.7 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 80.2 | 1854 | 35.8 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 39.8 |
| 1991 | 1171 | 11.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 12.8 | 853 | 76.9 | 11.3 | 1.3 | 89.5 | 2024 | 38.9 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 45.1 |
| 1992 | 1227 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 12.9 | 901 | 75.0 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 84.9 | 2128 | 37.7 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 43.4 |
| 1993 | 1194 | 9.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 11.8 | 850 | 73.9 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 87.7 | 2044 | 36.1 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 43.3 |
| 1994 | 1343 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 8.4 | 1027 | 72.4 | 12.1 | 3.9 | 88.4 | 2370 | 34.3 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 43.0 |
| 1995 | 1088 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 5.8 | 836 | 76.0 | 11.1 | 3.2 | 90.3 | 1924 | 35.7 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 42.5 |
| 1996 | 1040 | 6.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 6.8 | 757 | 71.5 | 13.2 | 4.8 | 89.5 | 1797 | 33.6 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 41.6 |
| 1997 | 1042 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 9.7 | 758 | 70.6 | 17.7 | 6.3 | 94.6 | 1800 | 34.0 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 45.4 |
| 1990–97 | 9167 | 7.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9.8 | 6774 | 73.7 | 10.9 | 3.5 | 88.1 | 15 941 | 35.8 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 43.1 |
| 1990–97 | T1N0 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8.8 | T1N1 | 74.9 | 10.4 | 2.9 | 88.2 | |||||
| T2+N0 | 12.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 15.2 | T2+N1 | 73.5 | 11.6 | 3.9 | 89.0 | ||||||
Source: NETB. H=hormonal therapy, C=chemotherapy.
Figure 2Breast cancer mortality rates predicted by MISCAN for effects of screening and adjuvant therapy (chemotherapy and tamoxifen). (A) Age group 45–54 (assumed first screening attendance rate of 79% in the age group 50–54). (B) Age group 55–64 (assumed first screening attendance rate of 76–79% in the age group 55–64). (C) Age group 65–74 (assumed first screening attendance rate of 72–74% in the age group 65–69).
Trends in the usage of adjuvant therapy by age and nodal status in the Netherlands
| 1975–80 | N− | 657 | 219 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 305 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 133 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| 1980–84 | N− | 886 | 292 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 380 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 214 | 0.5 | 2.3 |
| 1985–89 | N− | 1479 | 478 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 690 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 311 | 0.0 | 7.4 |
| 1990–94 | N− | 2829 | 748 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 1,522 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 559 | 0.0 | 7.2 |
| 1995–97 | N− | 1898 | 486 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1,027 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 385 | 0.0 | 5.7 |
| 1975–80 | N+ | 617 | 192 | 26.6 | 6.8 | 318 | 14.8 | 7.6 | 107 | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| 1980–84 | N+ | 741 | 236 | 58.1 | 2.5 | 353 | 22.4 | 12.5 | 152 | 5.3 | 9.9 |
| 1985–89 | N+ | 1165 | 381 | 53.0 | 7.6 | 582 | 11.9 | 51.2 | 202 | 0.5 | 59.4 |
| 1990–94 | N+ | 1972 | 646 | 60.2 | 7.7 | 919 | 10.8 | 71.0 | 407 | 1.7 | 80.8 |
| 1995–97 | N+ | 1220 | 386 | 77.7 | 11.7 | 562 | 12.3 | 77.9 | 272 | 0.7 | 92.7 |
| 1975–80 | All | 1631 | 492 | 15.7 | 3.3 | 777 | 11.1 | 4.1 | 362 | 6.1 | 1.1 |
| 1980–84 | All | 1890 | 574 | 27.7 | 1.9 | 818 | 14.3 | 6.6 | 498 | 4.0 | 10.2 |
| 1985–89 | All | 3157 | 916 | 25.0 | 4.5 | 1430 | 7.5 | 27.4 | 811 | 0.7 | 43.5 |
| 1990–94 | All | 5580 | 1488 | 30.6 | 5.0 | 2665 | 6.4 | 29.3 | 1427 | 1.4 | 49.8 |
| 1995–97 | All | 3608 | 927 | 36.4 | 5.7 | 1751 | 5.9 | 32.0 | 930 | 1.4 | 48.9 |
| 1990 | All | 6093 | 1692 | 28.5 | 3.9 | 2733 | 3.4 | 32.7 | 1668 | 1.1 | 38.3 |
| 1991 | All | 6520 | 1828 | 34.0 | 3.7 | 3085 | 4.7 | 34.9 | 1607 | 1.3 | 40.3 |
| 1992 | All | 7021 | 1886 | 32.9 | 3.8 | 3385 | 3.1 | 34.5 | 1750 | 0.2 | 42.1 |
| 1993 | All | 7325 | 1962 | 33.5 | 4.6 | 3583 | 3.1 | 31.5 | 1780 | 0.4 | 41.9 |
| 1994 | All | 8973 | 2436 | 32.9 | 4.5 | 4136 | 3.9 | 29.5 | 2365 | 0.3 | 39.6 |
| 1995 | All | 7844 | 2169 | 34.1 | 3.9 | 3669 | 4.0 | 30.4 | 2006 | 0.2 | 39.8 |
| 1996 | All | 8190 | 2347 | 34.1 | 3.5 | 3720 | 4.3 | 28.3 | 2123 | 0.3 | 42.8 |
| 1997 | All | 8275 | 2316 | 35.8 | 3.7 | 3880 | 6.4 | 27.5 | 2079 | 0.4 | 42.1 |
| 1990–94 | All | 35 932 | 9804 | 32.5 | 4.1 | 16 922 | 3.7 | 32.4 | 9170 | 0.6 | 40.4 |
| 1995–97 | All | 24 309 | 6832 | 34.7 | 3.7 | 11 269 | 4.9 | 28.7 | 6208 | 0.3 | 41.6 |
Source: NETB and Eindhoven Cancer Registry. C=chemotherapy, H=hormonal therapy.