Literature DB >> 15156130

Ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm. Is it possible to predict outcome?

R Calderwood1, T Halka, P Haji-Michael, M Welch.   

Abstract

AIM: Mortality after ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) remains high. Hardman et al. suggested that the following factors predict perioperative death: age >76 years, loss of consciousness, ECG confirmed ischemia, creatinine over 180 micromol/l and hemoglobin below 9 g/dl. A score of 3 or more had 100% mortality. A retrospective study was performed to validate this and determine if modification is required.
METHODS: Retrospective analysis of the 5 Hardman Index factors along with preoperative systolic blood pressure at presentation, after resuscitation and during surgery was performed.
RESULTS: A total of 137 cases were reviewed with overall mortality of 56.2%. Of Hardman's criteria: age, ECG ischemic changes, creatinine and hemoglobin levels were significant in predicting outcome (p=0.0007, 0.0152, 0.0001 and 0.0213, respectively). Loss of consciousness was not significant (p=0.9054). Hardman scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 scored mortality percentages of 40.4%, 46.4%, 76.7%, 91.7% and 100%, respectively. Systolic blood pressure was significantly predictive at 100 mmHg and 120 mmHg on presentation (p=0.0008 and 0.0017, respectively) and 100 mmHg and 120 mmHg after resuscitation (p=0.0001 and 0.0510, respectively). A modified score replaced loss of consciousness with systolic blood pressure below 100 mmHg with scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 had mortality of 22.2%, 46.8%, 66.7%, 83.9% and 100%, respectively.
CONCLUSION: Our data supports the effectiveness of the Hardman Index in predicting successful surgery. However loss of consciousness was not a significant predictor. We proposed review of predictive indices, but resources should be channelled into screening to prevent rAAA.

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Year:  2004        PMID: 15156130

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Int Angiol        ISSN: 0392-9590            Impact factor:   2.789


  2 in total

1.  Endovascular techniques for the treatment of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms: 7-year intention-to-treat results.

Authors:  Ilias Dalainas; Giovanni Nano; Paolo Bianchi; Silvia Stegher; Renato Casana; Giovanni Malacrida; Domenico G Tealdi
Journal:  World J Surg       Date:  2006-10       Impact factor: 3.352

2.  Open surgery in endovascular aneurysm repair era: simplified classification in two risk groups owing to factors affecting mortality in 137 ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (RAAAs).

Authors:  Stefano Bonardelli; Edoardo Cervi; Roberto Maffeis; Franco Nodari; Maurizio De Lucia; Cristina Guadrini; Fabio Viotti; Nazario Portolani; Stefano Maria Giulini
Journal:  Updates Surg       Date:  2011-02-19
  2 in total

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