OBJECTIVE: The goal of this study was to estimate the prevalence of diabetes and the number of people of all ages with diabetes for years 2000 and 2030. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Data on diabetes prevalence by age and sex from a limited number of countries were extrapolated to all 191 World Health Organization member states and applied to United Nations' population estimates for 2000 and 2030. Urban and rural populations were considered separately for developing countries. RESULTS: The prevalence of diabetes for all age-groups worldwide was estimated to be 2.8% in 2000 and 4.4% in 2030. The total number of people with diabetes is projected to rise from 171 million in 2000 to 366 million in 2030. The prevalence of diabetes is higher in men than women, but there are more women with diabetes than men. The urban population in developing countries is projected to double between 2000 and 2030. The most important demographic change to diabetes prevalence across the world appears to be the increase in the proportion of people >65 years of age. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate that the "diabetes epidemic" will continue even if levels of obesity remain constant. Given the increasing prevalence of obesity, it is likely that these figures provide an underestimate of future diabetes prevalence.
OBJECTIVE: The goal of this study was to estimate the prevalence of diabetes and the number of people of all ages with diabetes for years 2000 and 2030. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Data on diabetes prevalence by age and sex from a limited number of countries were extrapolated to all 191 World Health Organization member states and applied to United Nations' population estimates for 2000 and 2030. Urban and rural populations were considered separately for developing countries. RESULTS: The prevalence of diabetes for all age-groups worldwide was estimated to be 2.8% in 2000 and 4.4% in 2030. The total number of people with diabetes is projected to rise from 171 million in 2000 to 366 million in 2030. The prevalence of diabetes is higher in men than women, but there are more women with diabetes than men. The urban population in developing countries is projected to double between 2000 and 2030. The most important demographic change to diabetes prevalence across the world appears to be the increase in the proportion of people >65 years of age. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate that the "diabetes epidemic" will continue even if levels of obesity remain constant. Given the increasing prevalence of obesity, it is likely that these figures provide an underestimate of future diabetes prevalence.
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Authors: Adrienne A Nassar; Raymond D Childs; Mary E Boyle; Kimberly A Jameson; Margaret Fowke; Ken R Waters; Michael J Hovan; Curtiss B Cook Journal: J Diabetes Sci Technol Date: 2010-09-01
Authors: A S Meijnikman; C E M De Block; E Dirinck; A Verrijken; I Mertens; B Corthouts; L F Van Gaal Journal: Int J Obes (Lond) Date: 2017-07-19 Impact factor: 5.095
Authors: Justyna Siwy; Joost P Schanstra; Angel Argiles; Stephan J L Bakker; Joachim Beige; Petr Boucek; Korbinian Brand; Christian Delles; Flore Duranton; Beatriz Fernandez-Fernandez; Marie-Luise Jankowski; Mohammad Al Khatib; Thomas Kunt; Maria Lajer; Ralf Lichtinghagen; Morten Lindhardt; David M Maahs; Harald Mischak; William Mullen; Gerjan Navis; Marina Noutsou; Alberto Ortiz; Frederik Persson; John R Petrie; Johannes M Roob; Peter Rossing; Piero Ruggenenti; Ivan Rychlik; Andreas L Serra; Janet Snell-Bergeon; Goce Spasovski; Olivera Stojceva-Taneva; Matias Trillini; Heiko von der Leyen; Brigitte M Winklhofer-Roob; Petra Zürbig; Joachim Jankowski Journal: Nephrol Dial Transplant Date: 2014-03-02 Impact factor: 5.992