Modeling lead input and output in soils using lead isotopic geochemistry.

The aim of this study is to model downward migration of lead from the plow layer of an experimental site located in Versailles (about 15 km southwest of Paris, France). Since 1928, samples have been collected annually from the topsoil of three control plots maintained in bare fallow. Thirty samples from 10 different years were analyzed for their lead and scandium contents and lead isotopic compositions. The fluxes are simple because of the well-controlled experimental conditions in Versailles: only one output flux, described as a first-order differential function of the anthropogenic lead pool, was taken into account; the inputs were exclusively ascribed to atmospheric deposition. The combination of concentration and isotopic data allows the rate of migration from the plowed topsoil to the underlying horizon and, to a lesser extent, the atmospheric fluxes to be assessed. Both results are in good agreement with the sparse data available. Indeed, the post-depositional migration of lead appears negligible at the human time scale: less than 0.1% of the potentially mobile lead pool migrates downward, out of the first 25 cm of the soil, each year. Assuming future lead inputs equal to 0, at least 700 yr would be required to halve the amount of accumulated lead pollution. Such a low migration rate is compatible with the persistence of a major anthropogenic lead pool deposited before 1928. Knowledge of pollution history seems therefore to be of primary importance.