Literature DB >> 15000546

Decision-making in state lotteries: half now or all of it later?

Forest Baker1, Matthew W Johnson, Warren K Bickel.   

Abstract

Many state lotteries offer players a choice between receiving roughly half of the jackpot immediately and receiving the entire jackpot over 25 annual payments. This requires players to make a decision that involves uncertainty, delay, and large amounts of real money. Archival data on lottery players' jackpot payment decisions were collected from seven state and three multistate lotteries. Players' jackpot payment preferences were assessed at the time of ticket purchase and after winning a jackpot. Preference for the annuity payment option significantly decreased as jackpot size increased, both at the time of ticket purchase and after winning. Furthermore, a significant proportion of winners who selected the annuity payment option at ticket purchase switched to the cash payment option after winning, whereas no winners switched from the cash to the annuity option after winning. These findings suggest that real-world choices involving large sums of money may be subject to diminishing marginal utility and probability and delay discounting.

Mesh:

Year:  2003        PMID: 15000546     DOI: 10.3758/bf03196559

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Psychon Bull Rev        ISSN: 1069-9384


  8 in total

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Authors:  A W Logue; Y D Anderson
Journal:  Psychol Sci       Date:  2001-07

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Journal:  J Exp Anal Behav       Date:  1991-03       Impact factor: 2.468

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Journal:  J Exp Anal Behav       Date:  1987-11       Impact factor: 2.468

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Authors:  H Rachlin; L Green
Journal:  J Exp Anal Behav       Date:  1972-01       Impact factor: 2.468

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Authors:  K N Kirby; N N Maraković
Journal:  Psychon Bull Rev       Date:  1996-03

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Authors:  L Green; J Myerson; E McFadden
Journal:  Mem Cognit       Date:  1997-09

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Authors:  J E Mazur
Journal:  J Exp Anal Behav       Date:  1986-07       Impact factor: 2.468

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Authors:  Matthe W Johnson; Warren K Bickel
Journal:  J Exp Anal Behav       Date:  2002-03       Impact factor: 2.468

  8 in total
  2 in total

1.  Hyperbolic discounting of delayed social interaction.

Authors:  Shawn R Charlton; Edmund Fantino; Bradley D Gossett
Journal:  Learn Behav       Date:  2013-06       Impact factor: 1.986

2.  Demand curves for hypothetical cocaine in cocaine-dependent individuals.

Authors:  Natalie R Bruner; Matthew W Johnson
Journal:  Psychopharmacology (Berl)       Date:  2013-11-12       Impact factor: 4.530

  2 in total

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