Role of frozen section and clinical parameters in distinguishing benign from malignant follicular neoplasms of the thyroid.

The determination of malignancy preoperatively or intraoperatively is difficult in patients with follicular neoplasms of the thyroid. This study reviews a series of 395 patients treated for follicular neoplasms at the Vancouver General Hospital and the British Columbia Cancer Agency between the years of 1955 and 1988, 198 of whom had frozen section at the time of surgery. Frozen section was 79% accurate in differentiating follicular adenomas from carcinomas, with a sensitivity of 52% and a specificity of 100%. The positive predictive value of a frozen section showing carcinoma was 100%, and the negative predictive value was 73%. An incorrect diagnosis of a benign lesion was made in 21% of patients in whom the final diagnosis by fixed section was carcinoma. These same statistics were calculated for patients aged greater than 50 years, tumor size greater than 3 cm, and patients with a history of previous neck irradiation, three clinical factors shown in a previous study to be strong prognostic indicators of malignancy. The results were compared with those found by frozen section. The implications of these results in terms of patient management are discussed.