Literature DB >> 14601353

The reducing incidence of respiratory tract infection and its relation to antibiotic prescribing.

Douglas M Fleming1, Andrew M Ross, Kenneth W Cross, Helen Kendall.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: There is good evidence of reduced prescribing of antibiotics in recent years, but the reason for this has not been established. AIM: To study the incidence of respiratory tract infections presenting to general practitioners (GPs) in England and Wales in relation to the incidence of other infections and to the prescription of antibiotics.
SETTING: Sentinel practices in England and Wales who contribute to the Weekly Returns Service (WRS) of the Royal College of General Practitioners.
DESIGN: Time-series analysis of disease incidence data reported by the practices and of antibiotic prescription data from the Prescription Pricing Authority (PPA) during the years 1994-2000.
METHOD: Incidence data reported weekly from 73 practices in England and Wales, serving a population of 600,000, for acute respiratory tract infections, otitis media, infectious mononucleosis, shingles, urinary tract infections, and skin infections, were consolidated into quarterly datasets and examined graphically for evidence of secular and seasonal trends. Trends in antibiotic prescription items (data for England only were supplied by the PPA) were examined for association after adjustment for seasonal variation.
RESULTS: The incidence of respiratory tract infections and antibiotic prescribing showed virtually identical seasonal variation, with both declining from 1995: respiratory tract infections by 48% in winter and 38% in summer, and antibiotic prescriptions by 34% and 21%, respectively. Trends in both were very highly correlated. The incidence of shingles and skin infections was constant. The incidence of urinary tract infections declined by 10%. The incidence of otitis media in children and acute bronchitis in the elderly followed the all-age trend in the reduction of respiratory tract infections.
CONCLUSION: The considerable reduction in the incidence of respiratory tract infections between 1995 and 2000 is the main reason for the decline in antibiotic prescribing rather than changing prescribing thresholds for antibiotics.

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Year:  2003        PMID: 14601353      PMCID: PMC1314710     

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Br J Gen Pract        ISSN: 0960-1643            Impact factor:   5.386


  15 in total

1.  Comparison of the seasonal patterns of asthma identified in general practitioner episodes, hospital admissions, and deaths.

Authors:  D M Fleming; K W Cross; R Sunderland; A M Ross
Journal:  Thorax       Date:  2000-08       Impact factor: 9.139

2.  Chickenpox increasingly affects preschool children.

Authors:  A M Ross; D M Fleming
Journal:  Commun Dis Public Health       Date:  2000-09

3.  Impact of NHS Direct on general practice consultations during the winter of 1999-2000: analysis of routinely collected data.

Authors:  Rachel S Chapman; Gillian E Smith; Fiona Warburton; Richard T Mayon-White; Douglas M Fleming
Journal:  BMJ       Date:  2002-12-14

4.  Diagnosis--the Achilles heel?

Authors:  J G Howie
Journal:  J R Coll Gen Pract       Date:  1972-05

5.  The Japanese experience with vaccinating schoolchildren against influenza.

Authors:  T A Reichert; N Sugaya; D S Fedson; W P Glezen; L Simonsen; M Tashiro
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2001-03-22       Impact factor: 91.245

6.  Declining incidence of episodes of asthma: a study of trends in new episodes presenting to general practitioners in the period 1989-98.

Authors:  D M Fleming; R Sunderland; K W Cross; A M Ross
Journal:  Thorax       Date:  2000-08       Impact factor: 9.139

7.  Contribution of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus to community cases of influenza-like illness: an observational study.

Authors:  M C Zambon; J D Stockton; J P Clewley; D M Fleming
Journal:  Lancet       Date:  2001-10-27       Impact factor: 79.321

8.  Changes in pathogens causing early-onset sepsis in very-low-birth-weight infants.

Authors:  Barbara J Stoll; Nellie Hansen; Avroy A Fanaroff; Linda L Wright; Waldemar A Carlo; Richard A Ehrenkranz; James A Lemons; Edward F Donovan; Ann R Stark; Jon E Tyson; William Oh; Charles R Bauer; Sheldon B Korones; Seetha Shankaran; Abbot R Laptook; David K Stevenson; Lu-Ann Papile; W Kenneth Poole
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2002-07-25       Impact factor: 91.245

9.  Impact of infections on primary care--greater than expected.

Authors:  D M Fleming; G E Smith; J R H Charlton; J Charlton; A Nicoll
Journal:  Commun Dis Public Health       Date:  2002-03

10.  Trends in antimicrobial prescribing rates for children and adolescents.

Authors:  Linda F McCaig; Richard E Besser; James M Hughes
Journal:  JAMA       Date:  2002-06-19       Impact factor: 56.272

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  35 in total

1.  Prevention of respiratory syncytial virus infection in infants.

Authors:  Jenny Handforth; Mike Sharland; Jon S Friedland
Journal:  BMJ       Date:  2004-05-01

2.  Antibiotics, resistance, and clinical outcomes.

Authors:  Mark Woodhead; Douglas Fleming; Richard Wise
Journal:  BMJ       Date:  2004-05-29

3.  Continuing decline in acute asthma episodes in the community.

Authors:  R S Sunderland; D M Fleming
Journal:  Arch Dis Child       Date:  2004-03       Impact factor: 3.791

4.  Decreasing incidence of adenotonsillar problems in Dutch general practice: real or artefact?

Authors:  Marion C J Biermans; Ellen H M Theuns-Lamers; Peter Spreeuwenberg; Robert A Verheij; Johannes C van der Wouden; Pieter F de Vries Robbé; Gerhard A Zielhuis
Journal:  Br J Gen Pract       Date:  2009-12       Impact factor: 5.386

5.  Recent changes in the prevalence of diseases presenting for health care.

Authors:  Douglas M Fleming; Kenneth W Cross; Michele A Barley
Journal:  Br J Gen Pract       Date:  2005-08       Impact factor: 5.386

6.  Changing disease incidence: the consulting room perspective.

Authors:  Douglas M Fleming; Alex J Elliot
Journal:  Br J Gen Pract       Date:  2006-11       Impact factor: 5.386

7.  Prescribing antibiotics to patients with acute cough and otitis media.

Authors:  Morten Lindbaek
Journal:  Br J Gen Pract       Date:  2006-03       Impact factor: 5.386

8.  Validation of a clinical rule to predict complications of acute cough in preschool children: a prospective study in primary care.

Authors:  Alastair D Hay; Catharine Gorst; Alan Montgomery; Tim J Peters; Tom Fahey
Journal:  Br J Gen Pract       Date:  2007-07       Impact factor: 5.386

9.  Seasonal variations in the onset of ulcerative colitis in Japan.

Authors:  Shigeo Koido; Toshifumi Ohkusa; Hiroaki Saito; Tetsuji Yokoyama; Tomoyoshi Shibuya; Naoto Sakamoto; Kan Uchiyama; Hiroshi Arakawa; Taro Osada; Akihito Nagahara; Sumio Watanabe; Hisao Tajiri
Journal:  World J Gastroenterol       Date:  2013-12-21       Impact factor: 5.742

10.  Variations in antibiotic prescribing and consultation rates for acute respiratory infection in UK general practices 1995-2000.

Authors:  Mark Ashworth; Judith Charlton; Karen Ballard; Radoslav Latinovic; Martin Gulliford
Journal:  Br J Gen Pract       Date:  2005-08       Impact factor: 5.386

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