Literature DB >> 14525545

Estimating the effect of antiretroviral treatment during HIV seroconversion: impact of confounding in observational data.

Mark Clements, Matthew Law, Court Pedersen, John Kaldor.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether treatment with antiretroviral drugs within the first 3 months of infection with HIV affects medium-term health outcomes. DESIGN AND METHODS: Data from 20 cohorts in Europe and Australia were used Concerted Action on SeroConversion to AIDS and Death in Europe (CASCADE). Analysis was restricted to persons seroconverting in 1988-1998 who started antiretroviral treatment in the first 3 months or 1-2 years from seroconversion. The relationship between times to low CD4 count, AIDS and death and time of initiation of treatment was estimated using proportional hazards models.
RESULTS: Seroconversion illness was more common in those who began antiretroviral treatment in the first 3 months (73%) than in those who started treatment within 1-2 years post-seroconversion (33%). Subjects receiving early antiretroviral treatment had times to AIDS and to CD4 counts <200 cells/microL that were intermediate between those of subjects starting treatment within 1-2 years and those of the subset of these subjects starting treatment within 1-2 years who also had a prior CD4 count of >350 cells/microL and no prior AIDS diagnosis.
CONCLUSIONS: On the basis of these analyses, the effect of antiretroviral treatment initiation during HIV seroconversion is uncertain. It may result in lower rates of progression compared with starting antiretroviral treatment at 1-2 years, but the early antiretroviral treatment group had a similar or even higher incidence of low CD4 counts and AIDS events than the group who started antiretroviral treatment within 1-2 years with CD4 counts over 350 cells/microL and no prior AIDS diagnosis. Estimates of the effect of early treatment are probably confounded with a number of factors, including, in particular, reasons for treatment initiation.

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Year:  2003        PMID: 14525545     DOI: 10.1046/j.1468-1293.2003.00168.x

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  HIV Med        ISSN: 1464-2662            Impact factor:   3.180


  4 in total

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4.  Role of HIV infection duration and CD4 cell level at initiation of combination anti-retroviral therapy on risk of failure.

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  4 in total

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