Literature DB >> 14524857

Criticality and market efficiency in a simple realistic model of the stock market.

Damien Challet1, Matteo Marsili.   

Abstract

We discuss a simple model based on the minority game which reproduces the main stylized facts of anomalous fluctuations in finance. We present the analytic solution of the model in the thermodynamic limit. Stylized facts arise only close to a line of critical points with nontrivial properties, marking the transition to an unpredictable market. We show that the emergence of critical fluctuations close to the phase transition is governed by the interplay between the signal to noise ratio and the system size. These results provide a clear and consistent picture of financial markets, where stylized facts and verge of unpredictability are intimately related aspects of the same critical systems.

Year:  2003        PMID: 14524857     DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.68.036132

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys        ISSN: 1539-3755


  1 in total

1.  The rise and fall of a networked society: a formal model.

Authors:  Matteo Marsili; Fernando Vega-Redondo; Frantisek Slanina
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2004-01-26       Impact factor: 11.205

  1 in total

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