Authors: Jane P Messina; Moritz Ug Kraemer; Oliver J Brady; David M Pigott; Freya M Shearer; Daniel J Weiss; Nick Golding; Corrine W Ruktanonchai; Peter W Gething; Emily Cohn; John S Brownstein; Kamran Khan; Andrew J Tatem; Thomas Jaenisch; Christopher Jl Murray; Fatima Marinho; Thomas W Scott; Simon I Hay Journal: Elife Date: 2016-04-19 Impact factor: 8.140