Literature DB >> 12952136

How stable is the risk curve between alcohol and all-cause mortality and what factors influence the shape? A precision-weighted hierarchical meta-analysis.

Gerhard Gmel1, Elisabeth Gutjahr, Jürgen Rehm.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To determine the influence of six determining variables on the shape of the risk curve between alcohol and all-cause mortality. DATA: Based on a systematic search with clear inclusion criteria, all articles on alcohol and all-cause mortality until 2000 were included. STATISTICAL
METHODS: Precision-weighted pooling of relative risks (RRs); precision-weighted hierarchical analysis. VARIABLES: For pooling: RRs for different categories of average volume of drinking, lifetime abstainers and ex-drinkers. For hierarchical analysis: on first level: consumption in grams of pure alcohol per day; on second level: length of follow-up time in months; per capita consumption; average age, proportion of abstainers, average volume of drinking, and variability of average volume of drinking at baseline. OUTCOMES MEASURES: RR of former and current drinkers for all-cause mortality compared to abstainers.
RESULTS: The main hypotheses could be confirmed for males: Ex-drinkers had a higher mortality risk than lifetime abstainers; the higher and the more diverse the average volume of alcohol consumption, the wider the dip of the curve; the older the persons at baseline, the more pronounced the protective effect; and the longer the follow-up time, the less pronounced the protective effect. Except for average volume of drinking effects for females went in the same direction but with one exception did not reach significance.
CONCLUSIONS: There are systematic influences on the shape of the risk curve between alcohol and all-cause mortality. The overall beneficial effect of light to moderate drinking remained under all scenarios, indicating a high validity of the overall shape despite the heterogeneity between studies.

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Year:  2003        PMID: 12952136     DOI: 10.1023/a:1024805021504

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Eur J Epidemiol        ISSN: 0393-2990            Impact factor:   8.082


  65 in total

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9.  Alcohol consumption and mortality. II. Studies of male populations.

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Review 10.  The positive relationship between alcohol and heart disease in eastern Europe: potential physiological mechanisms.

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