Literature DB >> 12773841

Predicting costs of care using a pharmacy-based measure risk adjustment in a veteran population.

Anne E Sales1, Chuan-Fen Liu, Kevin L Sloan, Jesse Malkin, Paul A Fishman, Amy K Rosen, Susan Loveland, W Paul Nichol, Norman T Suzuki, Edward Perrin, Nancy D Sharp, Jeffrey Todd-Stenberg.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Although most widely used risk adjustment systems use diagnosis data to classify patients, there is growing interest in risk adjustment based on computerized pharmacy data. The Veterans Health Administration (VHA) is an ideal environment in which to test the efficacy of a pharmacy-based approach.
OBJECTIVE: To examine the ability of RxRisk-V to predict concurrent and prospective costs of care in VHA and compare the performance of RxRisk-V to a simple age/gender model, the original RxRisk, and two leading diagnosis-based risk adjustment approaches: Adjusted Clinical Groups and Diagnostic Cost Groups/Hierarchical Condition Categories.
METHODS: The study population consisted of 161,202 users of VHA services in Washington, Oregon, Idaho, and Alaska during fiscal years (FY) 1996 to 1998. We examined both concurrent and predictive model fit for two sequential 12-month periods (FY 98 and FY 99) with the patient-year as the unit of analysis, using split-half validation.
RESULTS: Our results show that the Diagnostic Cost Group /Hierarchical Condition Categories model performs best (R2 = 0.45) among concurrent cost models, followed by ADG (0.31), RxRisk-V (0.20), and age/sex model (0.01). However, prospective cost models other than age/sex showed comparable R2: Diagnostic Cost Group /Hierarchical Condition Categories R2 = 0.15, followed by ADG (0.12), RxRisk-V (0.12), and age/sex (0.01).
CONCLUSIONS: RxRisk-V is a clinically relevant, open source risk adjustment system that is easily tailored to fit specific questions, populations, or needs. Although it does not perform better than diagnosis-based measures available on the market, it may provide a reasonable alternative to proprietary systems where accurate computerized pharmacy data are available.

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Year:  2003        PMID: 12773841     DOI: 10.1097/01.MLR.0000069502.75914.DD

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Med Care        ISSN: 0025-7079            Impact factor:   2.983


  26 in total

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2.  The performance of administrative and self-reported measures for risk adjustment of Veterans Affairs expenditures.

Authors:  Matthew L Maciejewski; Chuan-Fen Liu; Ann Derleth; Mary McDonell; Steve Anderson; Stephan D Fihn
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5.  Case-mix adjusting performance measures in a veteran population: pharmacy- and diagnosis-based approaches.

Authors:  Chuan-Fen Liu; Anne E Sales; Nancy D Sharp; Paul Fishman; Kevin L Sloan; Jeff Todd-Stenberg; W Paul Nichol; Amy K Rosen; Susan Loveland
Journal:  Health Serv Res       Date:  2003-10       Impact factor: 3.402

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Authors:  Raymond Nc Kuo; Mei-Shu Lai
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8.  Patient Preferences Regarding Rheumatoid Arthritis Therapies: A Conjoint Analysis.

Authors:  Anthony M Louder; Amitabh Singh; Kim Saverno; Joseph C Cappelleri; Aaron J Aten; Andrew S Koenig; Margaret K Pasquale
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9.  Applying diagnosis and pharmacy-based risk models to predict pharmacy use in Aragon, Spain: the impact of a local calibration.

Authors:  Amaia Calderón-Larrañaga; Chad Abrams; Beatriz Poblador-Plou; Jonathan P Weiner; Alexandra Prados-Torres
Journal:  BMC Health Serv Res       Date:  2010-01-21       Impact factor: 2.655

10.  An in-depth assessment of a diagnosis-based risk adjustment model based on national health insurance claims: the application of the Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Group case-mix system in Taiwan.

Authors:  Hsien-Yen Chang; Jonathan P Weiner
Journal:  BMC Med       Date:  2010-01-18       Impact factor: 8.775

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