Predicting within-family variability in juvenile height growth of Salix based upon similarity among parental AFLP fingerprints.

Willow is being developed as a crop for biomass plantations in the Northeast and North-central United States, but has only recently been the subject of controlled breeding to generate improved genotypes. Maximizing variability among progeny within full-sib families produced by controlled pollination may increase the probability of producing willow clones exhibiting desirable extreme phenotypes. Yet, predicting combinations of parents yielding highly variable progeny is not currently possible. Controlled pollinations were completed among 15 Salix eriocephala clones and the resulting progeny were vegetatively propagated and planted in a greenhouse progeny test. Heights of rooted cuttings were measured after 4 months of growth. Genetic similarity among parents was estimated based on 77 polymorphic AFLP bands. Strong negative correlation ( r = -0.88) was detected between mean female-parent similarity indices and the standard deviation of height among half-sib progeny from those females. Parent combinations that had relatively low similarity indices tended to produce progeny that had greater variability in height. This negative relationship suggests that AFLP fingerprints of S. eriocephala parents may be useful for predicting parent combinations that will yield families with large variability.