Fertility estimation: a review of past experience and future prospects.

Fertility has many components and stages which require that males and females be functionally capable of carrying out all critical stages if each generational reproductive cycle is to be completed. To accomplish this, the male must produce and ejaculate normal fertile sperm. The female must produce, store and ovulate normal fertilizable oocytes. Furthermore, the female must provide a reproductive system compatible with sperm transport, capacitation, and fertilization of the oocytes, embryo and fetal development, and finally birth of healthy young. Reproductive success or failure at several of these points can be estimated quantitatively on a population basis, and in a few situations on an individual basis. It is important that fertility estimates be determined accurately and with precision to be most useful to researchers and managers of animal enterprises. Many studies have underestimated the biological relationship of fertility to other traits because the estimates lacked precision. Many in vitro manipulations of sperm in artificial insemination, of gametes in various assisted reproductive technologies, and of embryos in embryo transfer are utilized in animal breeding programs. Accurate estimation of reproductive efficiency of these in vitro procedures also is important. Conditions surrounding different sets of fertility estimates almost certainly will be different. These conditions should be described as precisely as possible, and appropriate controls included in all experiments. When possible, experiments should be replicated over time and place to determine the repeatability of the various criteria used to estimate fertility and reproductive efficiency. Advances in genomic information and molecular biology should facilitate characterizing more fully inherent potential fertility of animals at birth. In vitro tests will improve, and automated techniques will facilitate making multiple determinations possible on a large scale. Reliability of fertility estimates will increase, with the potential for enhanced animal reproductive performance through more accurate selection, genetic engineering, and enlightened animal care. Simultaneously, it is important to recognize that prediction of future fertility is more hazardous than estimating fertility, as a completely new set of circumstances may occur which are not predictable. Because fertility estimation may be applied under a myriad of conditions, principles and factors affecting fertility will be emphasized in this review as being more useful than a compilation of numerical examples. Copyright 2002 Elsevier Science B.V.