Literature DB >> 12453820

Childhood vaccine purchase costs in the public sector: past trends, future expectations.

Matthew M Davis1, Jessica L Zimmerman, John R C Wheeler, Gary L Freed.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: We examined recent public-sector trends in childhood vaccine costs and estimated future costs.
METHODS: We used public-sector price data to calculate vaccine purchase cost per child for children aged 0 to 6 years from 1975 to 2001. We fit a linear regression model to historical data and then used it to project costs per child from 2002 to 2020, adjusted to 2001 US dollars.
RESULTS: Controlling for inflation, the cost of vaccine purchase per child climbed from $10 in 1975 to $385 in 2001. The cost of vaccine purchase in the year 2020 following recommendation of 7 additional vaccines is estimated to be $1225 per child (95% confidence interval = $891, $1559).
CONCLUSIONS: The cost per child for recommended vaccines at public-sector prices may triple over the next 2 decades. These projections have implications for vaccine financing at federal and state levels.

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Year:  2002        PMID: 12453820      PMCID: PMC1447363          DOI: 10.2105/ajph.92.12.1982

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Am J Public Health        ISSN: 0090-0036            Impact factor:   9.308


  19 in total

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