Literature DB >> 12378783

National health expenditures, 1999.

C A Cowan1, H C Lazenby, A B Martin, P A McDonnell, A L Sensenig, C E Smith, L S Whittle, M A Zezza, C S Donham, A M Long, M W Stewart.   

Abstract

The health care spending share of gross domestic product (GDP) remained steady between 1993 and 1999 as moderate-to-strong economic growth coincided with a rapid shift to managed care. This shift, along with decelerating growth in Medicare spending, appears to have generated a mostly one-time saving that lowered aggregate health expenditure growth.

Entities:  

Mesh:

Year:  2001        PMID: 12378783      PMCID: PMC4194743     

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Health Care Financ Rev        ISSN: 0195-8631


Introduction

In this article, we present historical health spending in the United States using a matrix structure to describe trends in the size, growth, and distribution of health care expenditures for the period 1960-1999. This matrix represents spending in current dollars by type of service, such as hospital care and physician and clinical services, matched against the sources that pay for the health care bill, including private health insurance (PHI), and government programs such as Medicare and Medicaid. The statistics that are shown on the matrix provide a historical basis for policymakers, researchers, and the public to understand the trends in spending for the health industry and to lay a foundation for projections of health care spending (Heffler et al., 2001). In the figures that follow, we present information on health care spending, focusing on calendar year 1999. The figures include estimates of total health spending, spending by sources of funds (Medicaid, Medicare, and PHI), and spending for hospitals, physician and clinical services, other professional services, prescription drugs, home health care, and nursing home services. Also included in this article is a Technical Note explaining methodological changes that were incorporated in the 1999 national health expenditures (NHE). Tables 1-3 provide detailed NHE information for selected calendar years by type of service and source of funds. The format of these tables differs slightly from those published previously in that prescription drugs now appear as a separate category, and the various services have been realigned into broad subcategories. More complete time-series estimates and an updated definitions and methodologies can be found online at: http://cms.hhs.gov/stats/nhe-oact/.
Table 1

National Health Expenditures Aggregate and per Capita Amounts, Percent Distribution, and Average Annual Percent Growth, by Source of Funds: Selected Calendar Years 1980-1999

Item1980198819901993199419951996199719981999
Amount in Billions
National Health Expenditures$245.8$557.5$695.6$887.6$936.7$987.0$1,038.0$1,093.9$1,146.1$1,210.7
 Private141.0331.2413.2497.3509.4528.8553.6588.0623.2662.1
 Public104.8226.3282.4390.3427.3458.2484.4505.8522.9548.5
  Federal71.3154.0192.6274.2298.7323.9346.6361.7369.3384.7
  State and Local33.572.389.8116.1128.6134.3137.8144.2153.6163.9
Number in Millions
U.S. Population1230249254263265268270273275278
Amount in Billions
Gross Domestic Product$2,796$5,108$5,803$6,642$7,054$7,400$7,813$8,318$8,790$9,299
Per Capita Amount
National Health Expenditures$1,067$2,240$2,737$3,379$3,532$3,686$3,842$4,011$4,164$4,358
 Private6121,3311,6261,8931,9211,9752,0492,1562,2642,384
 Public4559091,1111,4861,6111,7111,7931,8551,9001,975
  Federal3096197581,0441,1261,2101,2831,3261,3421,385
  State and Local146291353442485502510529558590
Percent Distribution
National Health Expenditures100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0
 Private57.459.459.456.054.453.653.353.854.454.7
 Public42.640.640.644.045.646.446.746.245.645.3
  Federal29.027.627.730.931.932.833.433.132.231.8
  State and Local13.613.012.913.113.713.613.313.213.413.5
Percent of Gross Domestic Product
National Health Expenditures8.810.912.013.413.313.313.313.213.013.0
Average Annual Percent Growth from Previous Year Shown
National Health Expenditures211.710.811.78.55.55.45.25.44.85.6
 Private210.211.311.76.42.43.84.76.26.06.2
 Public214.810.111.711.49.57.25.74.43.44.9
  Federal217.510.111.812.58.98.47.04.42.14.2
  State and Local211.510.111.58.910.84.42.64.66.56.7
U.S. Population21.11.01.11.11.01.00.90.90.90.9
Gross Domestic Product28.77.86.64.66.24.95.66.55.75.8

July 1 census resident-based population estimates for each year 1980-1999.

Average annual growth between 1960 and 1980.

NOTE: Numbers and percents may not add to totals shown because of rounding.

SOURCES: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary: National Health Statistics Group; U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis; and U.S. Bureau of the Census.

Table 3

National Health Expenditures, by Source of Funds and Type of Expenditure: Selected Calendar Years 1994-1999

Year and Type of ExpenditureTotalPrivatePublicMedicare1Medicaid2,3

Total PrivateConsumerOther


Out-of-Pocket PaymentsPrivate Health InsuranceTotalFederalState and Local

Amount in Billions
1994
National Health Expenditures$936.7$509.4$146.2$308.9$54.3$427.3$298.7$128.6$166.2$133.7
 Health Services and Supplies904.2495.9146.2308.940.8408.3285.3123.0166.2133.7
  Personal Health Care816.5455.7146.2269.340.2360.8273.287.6162.0126.0
   Hospital Care332.4135.111.0110.813.2197.3156.840.599.152.0
   Professional Services297.5207.253.9131.621.790.366.423.941.327.5
    Physician and Clinical210.4145.928.0101.816.264.551.712.838.013.7
    Other Professional25.718.77.09.32.46.94.12.83.30.9
    Dental41.439.518.920.50.12.01.10.90.01.7
    Other Personal Health Care20.03.13.116.99.57.411.2
   Nursing Home and Home Health94.436.223.08.05.258.140.118.117.137.9
    Home Health Care26.19.44.53.71.216.613.43.211.33.8
    Nursing Home Care68.326.818.54.34.141.526.714.95.834.1
   Retail Outlet Sales of Medical Products92.277.258.318.915.09.95.14.48.6
    Prescription Drugs54.643.927.316.710.75.75.00.58.6
    Other Medical Products37.633.231.02.34.34.20.13.9
     Durable Medical Equipment13.39.97.62.33.43.30.13.0
     Other Non-Durable Medical Products24.323.323.30.90.90.9
  Government Administration and Net Cost of Private Health Insurance57.740.239.60.617.58.59.14.37.7
  Government Public Health Activities30.030.03.626.4
 Investment32.513.513.519.013.45.6
  Research416.31.41.414.812.52.3
  Construction16.212.112.14.20.93.3
1995
National Health Expenditures$987.0$528.8$149.2$322.3$57.3$458.2$323.9$134.3$184.8$144.1
 Health Services and Supplies954.4516.3149.2322.344.8438.1309.6128.5184.8144.1
  Personal Health Care865.7478.3149.2285.044.1387.4296.790.7180.3135.0
   Hospital Care343.6136.110.5111.014.6207.5167.440.1108.554.3
   Professional Services316.5217.954.1140.223.598.672.825.845.431.4
    Physician and Clinical220.5151.126.3107.317.669.456.113.241.714.8
    Other Professional28.521.17.710.72.67.54.62.93.71.0
    Dental44.542.420.122.20.12.01.10.90.01.8
    Other Personal Health Care23.03.33.319.810.98.8--13.8
   Nursing Home and Home Health105.141.025.29.86.064.145.019.121.139.7
    Home Health Care30.510.85.34.31.219.716.23.513.94.2
    Nursing Home Care74.630.219.95.64.844.428.815.67.235.4
   Retail Outlet Sales of Medical Products100.583.459.424.017.211.55.75.49.7
    Prescription Drugs60.848.727.221.412.16.65.50.89.7
    Other Medical Products39.734.732.12.65.04.90.14.6
     Durable Medical Equipment14.210.27.72.64.03.80.13.5
     Other Non-Durable Medical Products25.624.524.51.11.11.1
  Government Administration and Net Cost of Private Health Insurance57.238.037.30.719.39.310.04.59.1
  Government Public Health Activities31.431.43.627.8
 Investment32.612.512.520.114.35.8
  Research417.11.41.415.713.22.5
  Construction15.511.111.14.41.13.3
1996
National Health Expenditures$1,038.0$553.6$155.0$337.4$61.1$484.4$346.6$137.8$200.3$152.2
 Health Services and Supplies1,003.8540.4155.0337.447.9463.4331.8131.6200.3152.2
  Personal Health Care911.9500.4155.0298.247.2411.5318.193.4195.1144.3
   Hospital Care355.9137.710.4111.515.8218.2177.540.6117.456.8
   Professional Services332.9228.056.1146.725.2104.978.126.848.134.4
    Physician and Clinical229.3156.927.0111.118.872.459.013.444.215.6
    Other Professional30.923.08.211.92.87.94.93.03.91.2
    Dental46.844.720.923.60.12.11.20.90.11.9
    Other Personal Health Care25.93.43.422.513.09.515.7
   Nursing Home and Home Health113.544.226.411.56.369.349.419.923.542.3
    Home Health Care33.612.56.34.91.321.117.43.714.94.5
    Nursing Home Care79.931.720.16.64.948.232.016.28.737.8
   Retail Outlet Sales of Medical Products109.590.462.028.419.113.06.16.010.9
    Prescription Drugs67.253.527.925.613.77.76.01.110.9
    Other Medical Products42.437.034.12.85.45.30.14.9
     Durable Medical Equipment15.311.08.12.84.34.20.13.9
     Other Non-Durable Medical Products27.126.026.01.11.11.1
  Government Administration and Net Cost of Private Health Insurance59.040.039.30.719.010.09.05.27.9
  Government Public Health Activities32.932.93.829.2
 Investment34.213.213.221.014.86.3
  Research417.81.61.616.213.62.7
  Construction16.411.611.64.81.23.6
1997
National Health Expenditures$1,093.9$588.0$165.5$355.6$66.9$505.8$361.7$144.2$211.2$159.8
 Health Services and Supplies1,056.5573.1165.5355.652.0483.3346.0137.3211.2159.8
  Personal Health Care958.8530.6165.5313.851.3428.2331.596.7205.6151.7
   Hospital Care367.7142.811.0113.917.9224.8183.541.4124.158.0
   Professional Services352.4242.061.2154.026.8110.482.927.551.536.7
    Physician and Clinical240.9165.128.7116.220.175.962.613.347.416.2
    Other Professional33.425.49.413.03.08.05.03.04.01.3
    Dental50.247.923.024.80.12.21.31.00.12.0
    Other Personal Health Care27.93.63.624.314.010.317.2
   Nursing Home and Home Health119.648.028.912.66.671.650.521.023.344.7
    Home Health Care34.514.67.55.61.419.916.13.913.34.9
    Nursing Home Care85.133.421.46.95.151.634.517.210.039.8
   Retail Outlet Sales of Medical Products119.297.764.433.321.514.76.86.712.3
    Prescription Drugs75.159.629.230.315.58.96.71.312.3
    Other Medical Products44.038.135.22.95.95.80.15.4
     Durable Medical Equipment16.211.48.52.94.84.70.14.3
     Other Non-Durable Medical Products27.926.726.71.21.21.2
  Government Administration and Net Cost of Private Health Insurance61.642.641.80.819.110.68.55.68.1
  Government Public Health Activities36.036.03.932.1
 Investment37.414.914.922.515.66.9
  Research418.71.61.617.114.32.8
  Construction18.713.313.35.41.34.1
1998
National Health Expenditures$1,146.1$623.2$176.1$376.8$70.3$522.9$369.3$153.6$211.4$171.7
 Health Services and Supplies1,107.9607.7176.1376.854.8500.2352.8147.4211.4171.7
  Personal Health Care1,002.3563.2176.1333.253.8439.1335.8103.3205.2160.3
   Hospital Care377.1151.211.8119.519.9225.9181.544.5121.860.8
   Professional Services373.4255.065.1161.828.1118.489.329.055.539.1
    Physician and Clinical254.2172.929.9121.921.181.367.713.751.316.7
    Other Professional35.927.610.713.83.18.25.23.14.11.3
    Dental53.150.724.526.10.12.31.41.00.12.1
    Other Personal Health Care30.23.83.826.515.111.319.0
   Nursing Home and Home Health121.650.931.813.35.870.748.821.920.946.1
    Home Health Care33.516.18.56.11.517.413.34.110.35.4
    Nursing Home Care88.034.823.27.24.353.335.517.710.740.7
   Retail Outlet Sales of Medical Products130.2106.167.438.724.116.18.07.014.4
    Prescription Drugs85.266.931.335.718.210.47.81.714.4
    Other Medical Products45.039.236.23.05.85.70.15.3
     Durable Medical Equipment16.311.78.63.04.64.50.14.1
     Other Non-Durable Medical Products28.727.527.51.21.21.2
  Government Administration and Net Cost of Private Health Insurance67.044.543.60.922.513.09.56.211.5
  Government Public Health Activities38.638.64.034.6
 Investment38.215.515.522.716.56.2
  Research420.52.02.018.615.53.1
  Construction17.713.613.64.11.03.1
1999
National Health Expenditures$1,210.7$662.1$186.5$401.2$74.4$548.5$384.7$163.9$213.6$186.9
 Health Services and Supplies1,170.8646.6186.5401.258.9524.2366.9157.4213.6186.9
  Personal Health Care1,057.7599.7186.5355.357.9458.0347.2110.8205.9174.2
   Hospital Care390.9158.412.6124.121.7232.6185.247.3121.466.5
   Professional Services396.5269.067.7171.330.1127.596.231.358.942.7
    Physician and Clinical269.4182.230.7128.622.987.272.814.454.717.7
    Other Professional37.929.411.414.93.18.55.23.24.11.4
    Dental56.053.525.627.70.12.61.51.00.12.2
    Other Personal Health Care33.24.04.029.316.612.621.4
   Nursing Home and Home Health123.152.832.913.86.270.347.522.818.448.0
    Home Health Care33.116.99.06.31.716.111.94.28.75.6
    Nursing Home Care90.035.923.97.54.554.135.618.69.642.4
   Retail Outlet Sales of Medical Products147.1119.573.446.127.618.39.47.317.1
    Prescription Drugs99.677.934.943.021.712.49.22.017.1
    Other Medical Products47.641.638.43.26.05.80.15.4
     Durable Medical Equipment16.912.18.93.24.84.60.14.2
     Other Non-Durable Medical Products30.729.529.51.21.21.2
  Government Administration and Net Cost of Private Health Insurance72.046.945.91.025.115.39.87.612.7
  Government Public Health Activities41.141.14.436.8
 Investment39.815.515.524.317.86.5
  Research422.22.12.120.116.93.2
  Construction17.613.413.44.20.93.3

Subset of Federal funds.

Subset of Federal and State and local funds.

Excludes State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP) and Medicaid SCHIP expansion.

Research and development expenditures of drug companies and other manufacturers and providers of medical equipment and supplies are excluded from research expenditures. These research expenditures are implicitly included in the expenditure class in which the product falls in that they are covered by the payment received for that product.

NOTES: Numbers may not add to totals shown because of rounding. The figure 0.0 denotes amounts less than $50 million.

SOURCE: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group.

Conclusion

NHE maintained an unprecedented stable share of GDP for the period 1993 to 1999. Robust GDP growth, low economy-wide inflation, increased enrollment in managed care plans that has dampened health spending growth, and recent legislation affecting Medicare spending have all contributed to this stable share. However, there are indications that this recent period of stabilization is about to change. In 1999, NHE growth accelerated slightly, driven by increased spending growth for prescription drugs, increased PHI premiums, and increased Medicaid spending. Projections of health care spending show that health care will again be consuming a larger portion of national economic resources in 2000, a trend that will continue through 2010 (Heffler et al., 2001).

Technical Note

Estimates of NHE periodically undergo major revisions to incorporate new concepts, methods, and data sources. Several major conceptual revisions were incorporated into the current estimates of NHE, including the redefinition of several service categories as a result of the adoption of the North American Industrial Classification System, which replaced the Standard Industrial Classification System previously used governmentwide to collect economic data by industry. Other conceptual revisions include the elimination of small amounts of spending occurring outside the United States, the introduction of new data, and the associated methodological revisions needed to incorporate this information. Historical estimates incorporate recently released 1997 information from the U.S. Census Bureau's 1997 Economic Census: Health Care and Social Assistance Subject Series and data from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality's 1996 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey. Because of these new data sources and a general realignment of the accounting structure, several service categories have been redefined. One major change has been our expansion of physician services to include services provided in both physician offices and outpatient care facilities. Because the services offered in physician offices are often indistinguishable from those provided in outpatient care facilities, these categories have been merged. Similarly, the source-of-funds data that were gathered did not, in most cases, differentiate between the two types of care. Another change to the NHE included limiting the other professional service category to only licensed other professionals, such as chiropractors, optometrists, therapists, and podiatrists. Miscellaneous other health care services, an industry whose primary component was blood banks, are no longer included in the NHE because the cost of blood products is incorporated in the receipts/revenues of the institutions providing the blood to the patient. A full discussion of the definitions and methodologies used to generate these estimates is available at http://cms.hhs.gov/stats/nhe-oact/lessons/.
Table 2

National Health Expenditures Aggregate Amounts and Average Annual Percent Change, by Type of Expenditure: Selected Calendar Years 1980-1999

Type of Expenditure11980198819901993199419951996199719981999
Amount in Billions
National Health Expenditures$245.8$557.5$695.6$887.6$936.7$987.0$1,038.0$1,093.9$1,146.1$1,210.7
 Health Services and Supplies233.5534.8669.2855.8904.2954.41,003.81,056.51,107.91,170.8
  Personal Health Care214.6493.3609.4775.8816.5865.7911.9958.81,002.31,057.7
   Hospital Care101.5209.4253.9320.0332.4343.6355.9367.7377.1390.9
   Professional Services67.3176.3216.9280.8297.5316.5332.9352.4373.4396.5
    Physician and Clinical47.1127.4157.5201.2210.4220.5229.3240.9254.2269.4
    Other Professional3.614.318.224.525.728.530.933.435.937.9
    Dental13.327.331.538.941.444.546.850.253.156.0
    Other Personal Health Care3.37.39.716.220.023.025.927.930.233.2
   Nursing Home and Home Health20.148.965.387.694.4105.1113.5119.6121.6123.1
    Home Health Care2.48.412.621.926.130.533.634.533.533.1
    Nursing Home Care17.740.552.765.768.374.679.985.188.090.0
   Retail Outlet Sales of Medical Products25.758.773.387.592.2100.5109.5119.2130.2147.1
    Prescription Drugs12.030.640.351.354.660.867.275.185.299.6
    Other Medical Products13.728.133.136.237.639.742.444.045.047.6
     Durable Medical Equipment3.98.710.612.813.314.215.316.216.316.9
     Other Non-Durable Medical Products9.819.422.523.424.325.627.127.928.730.7
  Government Administration and Net Cost of Private Health Insurance12.226.039.652.857.757.259.061.667.072.0
  Government Public Health Activities6.715.520.227.230.031.432.936.038.641.1
 Investment12.322.726.431.832.532.634.237.438.239.8
  Research25.510.812.715.616.317.117.818.720.522.2
  Construction6.811.913.716.216.215.516.418.717.717.6
Average Annual Percent Change from Previous Year Shown
National Health Expenditures11.710.811.78.55.55.45.25.44.85.6
 Health Services and Supplies11.810.911.98.55.75.55.25.34.95.7
  Personal Health Care11.711.011.18.45.26.05.35.14.55.5
   Hospital Care12.89.510.18.03.93.43.63.32.63.7
   Professional Services11.012.810.99.05.96.45.25.86.06.2
    Physician and Clinical11.513.211.28.54.64.84.05.15.56.0
    Other Professional11.718.812.710.44.811.38.28.17.55.6
    Dental10.09.47.47.36.67.45.27.25.85.6
    Other Personal Health Care8.610.515.218.723.215.212.57.68.69.9
   Nursing Home and Home Health16.811.815.510.37.811.38.05.41.61.3
    Home Health Care20.617.122.120.319.117.110.12.8-3.0-1.4
    Nursing Home Care16.410.914.17.64.09.17.16.53.52.3
   Retail Outlet Sales of Medical Products8.610.911.86.05.49.09.08.89.213.0
    Prescription Drugs7.812.414.78.46.611.210.511.913.416.9
    Other Medical Products9.49.48.53.13.75.86.63.92.25.7
     Durable Medical Equipment9.310.710.46.54.16.57.85.80.73.6
     Other Non-Durable Medical Products9.48.97.71.43.65.46.02.93.06.9
   Government Administration and Net Cost of Private Health Insurance12.210.023.510.19.4-0.83.04.58.77.4
   Government Public Health Activities15.311.014.210.410.34.74.79.57.16.6
 Investment10.48.07.86.42.10.35.19.32.24.1
  Research210.98.98.27.24.35.24.35.09.88.2
  Construction10.07.27.45.70.1-4.55.914.0-5.3-0.6

Average annual growth between 1960 and 1980.

Research and development expenditures of drug companies and other manufacturers and providers of medical equipment and supplies are excluded from research expenditures. These research expenditures are implicitly included in the expenditure class in which the product falls in that they are covered by the payment received for that product.

NOTE: Numbers may not add to totals shown because of rounding.

SOURCE: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group.

  2 in total

1.  Health spending growth up in 1999; faster growth expected in the future.

Authors:  S Heffler; K Levit; S Smith; C Smith; C Cowan; H Lazenby; M Freeland
Journal:  Health Aff (Millwood)       Date:  2001 Mar-Apr       Impact factor: 6.301

2.  EBRI research highlights: retirement and health data.

Authors:  D Salisbury
Journal:  EBRI Issue Brief       Date:  2001-01
  2 in total
  2 in total

Review 1.  Changes in elderly disability rates and the implications for health care utilization and cost.

Authors:  Brenda C Spillman
Journal:  Milbank Q       Date:  2004       Impact factor: 4.911

2.  Health expenditure trends in OECD countries, 1990-2001.

Authors:  Manfred Huber; Eva Orosz
Journal:  Health Care Financ Rev       Date:  2003
  2 in total

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