Literature DB >> 12271127

Modeling dynamic and network heterogeneities in the spread of sexually transmitted diseases.

Ken T D Eames1, Matt J Keeling.   

Abstract

A wide range of communicable human diseases can be considered as spreading through a network of possible transmission routes. The implied network structure is vital in determining disease dynamics, especially when the average number of connections per individual is small as is the case for many sexually transmitted diseases (STDs). Here we develop an intuitive mathematical framework to deal with the heterogeneities implicit within contact networks and those that arise because of the infection process. These models are compared with full stochastic simulations and show excellent agreement across a wide range of parameters. We show how such models can be used to estimate parameters of epidemiological importance, and how they can be extended to examine the effectiveness of various control strategies, in particular screening programs and contact tracing.

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Year:  2002        PMID: 12271127      PMCID: PMC130633          DOI: 10.1073/pnas.202244299

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN: 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


  47 in total

Review 1.  Measuring sexual behaviour: methodological challenges in survey research.

Authors:  K A Fenton; A M Johnson; S McManus; B Erens
Journal:  Sex Transm Infect       Date:  2001-04       Impact factor: 3.519

2.  Networks and pathogens.

Authors:  A S Klovdahl
Journal:  Sex Transm Dis       Date:  2001-01       Impact factor: 2.830

3.  Dynamics of the 2001 UK foot and mouth epidemic: stochastic dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape.

Authors:  M J Keeling; M E Woolhouse; D J Shaw; L Matthews; M Chase-Topping; D T Haydon; S J Cornell; J Kappey; J Wilesmith; B T Grenfell
Journal:  Science       Date:  2001-10-03       Impact factor: 47.728

4.  Travelling waves and spatial hierarchies in measles epidemics.

Authors:  B T Grenfell; O N Bjørnstad; J Kappey
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2001-12-13       Impact factor: 49.962

5.  Sexual networks and sexually transmitted infections: a tale of two cities.

Authors:  A M Jolly; S Q Muth; J L Wylie; J J Potterat
Journal:  J Urban Health       Date:  2001-09       Impact factor: 3.671

6.  The effects of local spatial structure on epidemiological invasions.

Authors:  M J Keeling
Journal:  Proc Biol Sci       Date:  1999-04-22       Impact factor: 5.349

7.  Epidemiological models for sexually transmitted diseases.

Authors:  K Dietz; K P Hadeler
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  1988       Impact factor: 2.259

Review 8.  The global impact of HIV/AIDS.

Authors:  P Piot; M Bartos; P D Ghys; N Walker; B Schwartländer
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2001-04-19       Impact factor: 49.962

9.  Sexual behaviour in Britain: reported sexually transmitted infections and prevalent genital Chlamydia trachomatis infection.

Authors:  K A Fenton; C Korovessis; A M Johnson; A McCadden; S McManus; K Wellings; C H Mercer; C Carder; A J Copas; K Nanchahal; W Macdowall; G Ridgway; J Field; B Erens
Journal:  Lancet       Date:  2001-12-01       Impact factor: 79.321

10.  Social networks and the spread of infectious diseases: the AIDS example.

Authors:  A S Klovdahl
Journal:  Soc Sci Med       Date:  1985       Impact factor: 4.634

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  115 in total

1.  Using conservation of pattern to estimate spatial parameters from a single snapshot.

Authors:  Matt J Keeling; Stephen P Brooks; Christopher A Gilligan
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2004-06-07       Impact factor: 11.205

2.  Edge-based compartmental modelling for infectious disease spread.

Authors:  Joel C Miller; Anja C Slim; Erik M Volz
Journal:  J R Soc Interface       Date:  2011-10-05       Impact factor: 4.118

3.  Outbreak analysis of an SIS epidemic model with rewiring.

Authors:  David Juher; Jordi Ripoll; Joan Saldaña
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2012-06-12       Impact factor: 2.259

4.  A note on a paper by Erik Volz: SIR dynamics in random networks.

Authors:  Joel C Miller
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2010-03-23       Impact factor: 2.259

Review 5.  Sexual risk behaviour and infection: epidemiological considerations.

Authors:  S O Aral
Journal:  Sex Transm Infect       Date:  2004-12       Impact factor: 3.519

6.  Influence of spatial heterogeneity on an emerging infectious disease: the case of dengue epidemics.

Authors:  Charly Favier; Delphine Schmit; Christine D M Müller-Graf; Bernard Cazelles; Nicolas Degallier; Bernard Mondet; Marc A Dubois
Journal:  Proc Biol Sci       Date:  2005-06-07       Impact factor: 5.349

Review 7.  Networks and epidemic models.

Authors:  Matt J Keeling; Ken T D Eames
Journal:  J R Soc Interface       Date:  2005-09-22       Impact factor: 4.118

8.  Contact tracing strategies in heterogeneous populations.

Authors:  K T D Eames
Journal:  Epidemiol Infect       Date:  2006-07-19       Impact factor: 2.451

9.  Stochastic fluctuations in epidemics on networks.

Authors:  M Simões; M M Telo da Gama; A Nunes
Journal:  J R Soc Interface       Date:  2008-05-06       Impact factor: 4.118

10.  Susceptible-infected-recovered epidemics in dynamic contact networks.

Authors:  Erik Volz; Lauren Ancel Meyers
Journal:  Proc Biol Sci       Date:  2007-12-07       Impact factor: 5.349

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