| Literature DB >> 12133183 |
József Bocsi1, Jörg Hambsch, Pavel Osmancik, Peter Schneider, Günter Valet, Attila Tárnok.
Abstract
AIM: Postoperative effusions and edema and capillary leak syndrome in children after cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass constitute considerable clinical problems. Overshooting immune response is held to be the cause. In a prospective study we investigated whether preoperative immune status differences exist in patients at risk for postsurgical effusions and edema, and to what extent these differences permit prediction of the postoperative outcome.Entities:
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Year: 2002 PMID: 12133183 PMCID: PMC125311 DOI: 10.1186/cc1494
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Crit Care ISSN: 1364-8535 Impact factor: 9.097
Clinical and surgical data of POEE and non-POEE patients (means ± SD)
| Surgical parameters and patient data | Non-POEE ( | POEE ( | |
| Age (years) | 8.8 ± 4.4 | 9.8 ± 3.6 | 0.23* |
| Body weight (kg) | 27.3 ± 11.9 | 35.0 ± 13.7 | 0.009+ |
| Gender (F/M) | 23/23 | 16/13 | NS† |
| Aortic cross-clamping (min) | 34.0 ± 27.8 | 47.7 ± 34.7 | 0.13* |
| CPB (min) | 65.9 ± 37.1 | 98.4 ± 62.9 | 0.04+ |
| Surgery + anesthesia (min) | 177.1 ± 58.5 | 213.7 ± 98.6 | 0.10* |
| Reperfusion (min) | 18.7 ± 18.2 | 25.4 ± 29.0 | 0.54+ |
| Hypothermia (minimal temperature °C) | 30.6 ± 3.1 | 30.7 ± 2.8 | 0.80* |
| Length of stay on ICU (days) | 1.9 ± 0.9 | 2.9 ± 4.1 | 0.25+ |
| Mechanical ventilation on ICU (hours) | 10.1 ± 5.0 | 11.7 ± 6.6 | 0.36+ |
| Discharge (days after surgery) | 9.4 ± 5.2 | 10.7 ± 4.7 | 0.031+ |
†Chi-squared test, NS = not significant, *two-tailed Student's t-test, +Mann-Whitney U-test. CPB, cardiopulmonary bypass; ICU, intensive care unit; POEE, postoperative effusions and edema.
Twenty-four hour preoperative serum parameters in post operative non-POEE and POEE patients (means ± SD). From the 56 determined parameters, those selected by one of the classification programs or exhibiting significant differences are shown
| Parameter (units) | Non-POEE ( | POEE ( | Classifier | |
| C1-inhibitor (mg/l) | 937 ± 270 (46) | 888 ± 342.0 (29) | 0.49* | C |
| C3 (mg/l) | 1329 ± 200 (46) | 1467 ± 325.0 (29) | 0.022* | C |
| C5 (mg/l) | 128.7 ± 54.3 (46) | 177.4 ± 87.4 (28) | 0.001+ | C |
| C5a (mg/l) | 0.45 ± 0.36 (46) | 0.73 ± 1.08 (29) | 0.09+ | S |
| C5a/C5-ratio | 0.38 ± 0.29 (46) | 0.51 ± 0.72 (28) | 0.39+ | S |
| TNF-α (ng/l) | 36.2 ± 118.8 (45) | 63.5 ± 222.4 (29) | 0.028+ | |
| IL-10 (ng/l) | 1.50 ± 4.89 (46) | 3.95 ± 11.15 (29) | 0.18+ | S |
| sL-selectin (μg/l) | 1299 ± 294 (44) | 1434 ± 37 (24) | 0.27* | S,C |
| % lymphocytes | 41.7 ± 11.0 (46) | 34.9 ± 10.1 (29) | 0.010* | |
| % neutrophils | 46.7 ± 11.3 (46) | 54.9 ± 11.8 (29) | 0.005* | S |
| Neutrophils (cells/μl) | 3506 ± 1500 (45) | 4219 ± 1490 (27) | 0.086* | C |
| Monocytes (cells/μl) | 579 ± 219 (45) | 634 ± 242 (27) | 0.23* | S |
| Eosinophils (cells/μl) | 218 ± 195 (45) | 206 ± 226 (27) | 0.83+ | C |
| Serum protein (g/l) | 72.3 ± 5.0 (41) | 70.9 ± 5.9 (28) | 0.27* | S |
| Hematocrit (%) | 37.3 ± 5.0 (44) | 40.2 ± 10.8 (27) | 0.14+ | S,C |
| Partial thrombin time (s) | 35.9 ± 3.7 (45) | 35.2 ± 4.6 (28) | 0.56* | C |
| Potassium (mmol/l) | 4.2 ± 0.3 (45) | 4.1 ± 0.5 (28) | 0.55* | C |
| Body weight (kg) | 27.3 ± 11.9 (46) | 35.0 ± 13.7 (29) | 0.008+ | S |
*Two-tailed Student's t-test, +Mann-Whitney U-test. Parameter used by S = SPSS classifier, C = CLASSIF1 classifier or S,C= both classifiers. n =number of patients. IL, interleukin; POEE, postoperative effusions and edema; sL-selectin, soluble leukocytic-selectin; TNF-α, tumor necrosis factor-alpha.
Classification of POEE and non-POEE patients (confusion matrices) of 24 h preoperative serological parameters by the SPSS and the CLASSIF1 classifiers (see Table 4)
| Prediction (% correct) | ||||
| Clinical outcome | Patients ( | Non-POEE | POEE | |
| SPSS | ||||
| Non-POEE | (all patients) | 46 | 80.4 | 19.6 |
| (ASD) | (25) | (80.0) | (20.0) | |
| (residual) | (21) | (81.0) | (19.0) | |
| POEE | (all patients) | 29 | 13.8 | 86.2 |
| (ASD) | (14) | (14.3) | (85.7) | |
| (residual) | (15) | (13.3) | (86.7) | |
| Negative/positive predictive values | 90.2 | 73.5 | ||
| (ASD) | (90.9) | (70.5) | ||
| (residual) | (89.4) | (76.4) | ||
| CLASSIF1 | ||||
| Non-POEE | (all patients) | 46 | 97.8 | 4.3* |
| (ASD) | (25) | (96.0) | (4.0) | |
| (residual) | (21) | (100.0) | (4.7)* | |
| POEE | (all patients) | 29 | 27.6 | 72.4 |
| (ASD) | (14) | (35.7) | (64.3) | |
| (residual) | (15) | (20.0) | (80.0) | |
| Negative/positive predictive values | 84.9 | 91.3 | ||
| (ASD) | (82.7) | (90.0) | ||
| (others) | (87.5) | (92.3) | ||
Classification result shown separately for ASD patients or the residual patients applying the identical classification algorithms as for the total group of patients. *Simultaneous classification non-POEE/POEE for one patient increases line sum above 100%. ASD, atrial septal defect; POEE, postoperative effusions and edema.
Preoperative parameters and coefficients for prediction of postoperative cardiac surgery outcome by the SPSS and CLASSIF1 classifiers
| SPSS classifier | CLASSIF1 classifier | ||
| Parameter (pi) | Coefficients (ci)* | Parameters | POEE patients classification mask** |
| C1-Inhibitor | - | ||
| C3 | + | ||
| C5 | 0.005105 | C5 | + |
| C5a/C5-ratio | 0.788609 | ||
| IL-10 | 0.086488 | ||
| sL-selectin | 0.001721 | sL-selectin | + |
| % Neutrophils | 0.024991 | ||
| Neutrophil count | + | ||
| Monocyte count | 0.002542 | ||
| Eosinophil count | - | ||
| Hematocrit | 0.06021 | Hematocrit | + |
| Serum protein | -0.136055 | ||
| Body weight | 0.067000 | ||
| Partial thrombin time | - | ||
| Potassium | - | ||
| (Constant | -0.939490) | ||
Formula of the discriminant function: *Constant + , resulting value <0, non-POEE risk, if >0, POEE risk. pi = measured parameter values; ci = classifier coefficients. **Parameter on average above (+) or below (-) the 25–75% percentile thresholds for C1-inhibitor: 300/377 mg/l (25%/75%); C3: 1181/1456 mg/l; C5: 100/131 mg/l; sL-selection: 1102/1501 g/l, neutrophil count: 3900/5520cells/μl; eosinophil count: 85/269cells/μl; hematocrit: 34.0/39.8%; partial thrombin time: 33.3/37.9s; K+: 4.04/4.38mmol/l. Non-POEE patients have, on average, all parameters unchanged (0) between the 25–75% percentile thresholds. Unknown patients are classified according to the highest number of positional coincidences, with the POEE or the non-POEE patients classification mask.