Literature DB >> 11969899

Statistical properties of the volatility of price fluctuations.

Y Liu1, P Gopikrishnan, P Cizeau, M Meyer, C K Peng, H E Stanley.   

Abstract

We study the statistical properties of volatility, measured by locally averaging over a time window T, the absolute value of price changes over a short time interval deltat. We analyze the S&P 500 stock index for the 13-year period Jan. 1984 to Dec. 1996. We find that the cumulative distribution of the volatility is consistent with a power-law asymptotic behavior, characterized by an exponent mu approximately 3, similar to what is found for the distribution of price changes. The volatility distribution retains the same functional form for a range of values of T. Further, we study the volatility correlations by using the power spectrum analysis. Both methods support a power law decay of the correlation function and give consistent estimates of the relevant scaling exponents. Also, both methods show the presence of a crossover at approximately 1.5 days. In addition, we extend these results to the volatility of individual companies by analyzing a data base comprising all trades for the largest 500 U.S. companies over the two-year period Jan. 1994 to Dec. 1995.

Entities:  

Year:  1999        PMID: 11969899     DOI: 10.1103/physreve.60.1390

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Phys Rev E Stat Phys Plasmas Fluids Relat Interdiscip Topics        ISSN: 1063-651X


  29 in total

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7.  Magnitude and sign of long-range correlated time series: Decomposition and surrogate signal generation.

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