[Risk profiles and preventive measures of falls in elderly persons].

Falls in elderly persons are an important health problem. The results of the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam show that thirty percent of older adults over the age of 65 years who live in the community (n = 1285) fall at least once a year. Recurrent falls were reported by about 11% of the participants. In one-year of follow-up, 22 fractures were recorded. In the 'single fall' group 11 subjects (3.9%) suffered from a fracture and in the 'recurrent fall' group 9 subjects (6.1%). The strongest predictors identified in the risk profile for recurrent falls were previous falls, urinary incontinence, visual impairment and functional limitations (Area Under Curve, 0.71). The probability of recurrent falls for subsequent scores of the screening test ranged from 4.7% (95% CI, 4.0-5.4%) to 46.8% (95% CI, 43.0-50.6%). Risk profiles are needed to identify people at high risk. For matters of feasibility and efficiency, preventive measures of falls should preferably be focussed on those subgroups that have the highest risk of falls.