BACKGROUND & AIMS: Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) slows the progression of primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC). However, some UDCA-treated patients escape and progress toward cirrhosis and end-stage disease. This study aimed to assess the incidence of cirrhosis in UDCA-treated patients with PBC and to determine the predictive factors of cirrhosis development under this treatment. METHODS: A Markov model was used to describe the progression toward cirrhosis in 183 UDCA-treated patients with PBC. A total of 254 pairs of liver biopsy specimens collected during 655 patient-years were studied. RESULTS: The incidence of cirrhosis after 5 years of UDCA treatment was 4%, 12%, and 59% among patients followed-up from stages I, II, and III, respectively. At 10 years, the incidence was 17%, 27%, and 76%, respectively. The median time for developing cirrhosis from stages I, II, and III was 25 years, 20 years, and 4 years, respectively. The independent predictive factors of cirrhosis development were serum bilirubin greater than 17 mumol/L, serum albumin less than 38 g/L, and moderate to severe lymphocytic piecemeal necrosis. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides new data about the time course of PBC under UDCA and constitutes a rationale for the design and evaluation of clinical trials aimed to assess the efficacy of drugs associated with UDCA.
BACKGROUND & AIMS:Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) slows the progression of primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC). However, some UDCA-treated patients escape and progress toward cirrhosis and end-stage disease. This study aimed to assess the incidence of cirrhosis in UDCA-treated patients with PBC and to determine the predictive factors of cirrhosis development under this treatment. METHODS: A Markov model was used to describe the progression toward cirrhosis in 183 UDCA-treated patients with PBC. A total of 254 pairs of liver biopsy specimens collected during 655 patient-years were studied. RESULTS: The incidence of cirrhosis after 5 years of UDCA treatment was 4%, 12%, and 59% among patients followed-up from stages I, II, and III, respectively. At 10 years, the incidence was 17%, 27%, and 76%, respectively. The median time for developing cirrhosis from stages I, II, and III was 25 years, 20 years, and 4 years, respectively. The independent predictive factors of cirrhosis development were serum bilirubin greater than 17 mumol/L, serum albumin less than 38 g/L, and moderate to severe lymphocytic piecemeal necrosis. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides new data about the time course of PBC under UDCA and constitutes a rationale for the design and evaluation of clinical trials aimed to assess the efficacy of drugs associated with UDCA.
Authors: Gideon M Hirschfield; Jessica K Dyson; Graeme J M Alexander; Michael H Chapman; Jane Collier; Stefan Hübscher; Imran Patanwala; Stephen P Pereira; Collette Thain; Douglas Thorburn; Dina Tiniakos; Martine Walmsley; George Webster; David E J Jones Journal: Gut Date: 2018-03-28 Impact factor: 23.059
Authors: Maren H Harms; Willem J Lammers; Douglas Thorburn; Christophe Corpechot; Pietro Invernizzi; Harry L A Janssen; Pier M Battezzati; Frederik Nevens; Keith D Lindor; Annarosa Floreani; Cyriel Y Ponsioen; Marlyn J Mayo; George N Dalekos; Tony Bruns; Albert Parés; Andrew L Mason; Xavier Verhelst; Kris V Kowdley; Jorn C Goet; Gideon M Hirschfield; Bettina E Hansen; Henk R van Buuren Journal: Am J Gastroenterol Date: 2017-12-12 Impact factor: 10.864