Literature DB >> 11474099

Noisy clockwork: time series analysis of population fluctuations in animals.

O N Bjørnstad1, B T Grenfell.   

Abstract

Both biotic interactions and abiotic random forcing are crucial influences on population dynamics. This frequently leads to roughly equal importance of deterministic and stochastic forces. The resulting tension between noise and determinism makes ecological dynamics unique, with conceptual and methodological challenges distinctive from those in other dynamical systems. The theory for stochastic, nonlinear ecological dynamics has been developed alongside methods to test models. A range of dynamical components has been considered-density dependence, environmental and demographic stochasticity, and climatic forcing-as well as their often complex interactions. We discuss recent advances in understanding ecological dynamics and testing theory using long-term data and review how dynamical forces interact to generate some central field and laboratory time series.

Mesh:

Year:  2001        PMID: 11474099     DOI: 10.1126/science.1062226

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Science        ISSN: 0036-8075            Impact factor:   47.728


  93 in total

1.  Pattern of variation in avian population growth rates.

Authors:  Bernt-Erik Saether; Steinar Engen
Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci       Date:  2002-09-29       Impact factor: 6.237

Review 2.  Population growth rate and its determinants: an overview.

Authors:  Richard M Sibly; Jim Hone
Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci       Date:  2002-09-29       Impact factor: 6.237

3.  Spatio-temporal dynamics of the grey-sided vole in Hokkaido: identifying coupling using state-based Markov-chain modelling.

Authors:  D T Haydon; P E Greenwood; N Chr Stenseth; T Saitoh
Journal:  Proc Biol Sci       Date:  2003-02-22       Impact factor: 5.349

4.  Anatomy of a chaotic attractor: subtle model-predicted patterns revealed in population data.

Authors:  Aaron A King; R F Costantino; J M Cushing; Shandelle M Henson; Robert A Desharnais; Brian Dennis
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2003-12-17       Impact factor: 11.205

5.  Explaining and predicting patterns in stochastic population systems.

Authors:  Shandelle M Henson; Aaron A King; R F Costantino; J M Cushing; Brian Dennis; Robert A Desharnais
Journal:  Proc Biol Sci       Date:  2003-08-07       Impact factor: 5.349

6.  Avian reproductive failure in response to an extreme climatic event.

Authors:  Douglas T Bolger; Michael A Patten; David C Bostock
Journal:  Oecologia       Date:  2004-11-10       Impact factor: 3.225

7.  Density dependence: an ecological Tower of Babel.

Authors:  Salvador Herrando-Pérez; Steven Delean; Barry W Brook; Corey J A Bradshaw
Journal:  Oecologia       Date:  2012-05-31       Impact factor: 3.225

8.  Stochasticity in staged models of epidemics: quantifying the dynamics of whooping cough.

Authors:  Andrew J Black; Alan J McKane
Journal:  J R Soc Interface       Date:  2010-02-17       Impact factor: 4.118

9.  Persistence in fluctuating environments.

Authors:  Sebastian J Schreiber; Michel Benaïm; Kolawolé A S Atchadé
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2010-06-08       Impact factor: 2.259

10.  A second-order iterated smoothing algorithm.

Authors:  Dao Nguyen; Edward L Ionides
Journal:  Stat Comput       Date:  2016-10-15       Impact factor: 2.559

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