Prognostic factors in children with severe diffuse brain injuries: a study of 74 patients.

Severe diffuse brain injury in children has a devastating influence on their physical and psychological development. This retrospective study was undertaken to analyse the factors that influence outcome in children with such injuries. The short-term outcomes (Glasgow outcome score) of 74 children (age < or =15 years) with severe diffuse brain injury and no focal operable mass lesions on CT scan, admitted between 1992 and 1998 at the National Institute of Mental Health and Neurosciences were analysed. The prognostic factors analysed were age, gender, time after injury to admission, nature of injury, highest post-resuscitation Glasgow coma score (GCS), pupillary reaction, horizontal oculocephalic reflex and CT scan findings. The following factors were found to be independent predictors of poor outcome: GCS 3-5 (p < 0.003), absent verbal response (p < 0.001), motor response score of 1-3 (p < 0.001), absent pupillary reaction (p < 0.001), absent oculocephalic reflex (p < 0.001) and presence of traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage on CT scan (p < 0.002). These independent variables were then subjected to a stepwise logistic regression analysis, and the most important variables for predicting outcome were oculocephalic reflex and GCS, which together correctly predicted unfavourable outcome with a sensitivity of 79% and a specificity of 65%. An early CT scan or a single CT scan did not have any prognostic significance. Copyright 2001 S. Karger AG, Basel