Does an early increase in heart rate during tilting predict the results of passive tilt testing?

Head-up tilt testing is a useful but time-consuming procedure. If we could accurately predict the tilt testing results; we would be able to substantially shorten the duration of tilt protocol. To clarify the hypothesis that an early increase in heart rate (HR) during tilting can predict the passive tilt results in our protocol (80-degree angle for 30 minutes), we studied 115 consecutive patients (72 men, 43 women, mean age 46 +/- 19 years) who were clinically diagnosed with neurally mediated syncope. Twenty-nine (25%) patients had a positive tilt test (P group), whereas 86 (75%) patients had a negative test (N group). The early HR increase was defined as the maximum HR during the first 5 minutes of tilting minus the resting HR before tilting. The early HR increase was significantly higher in the P group (23.8 +/- 9.5 beats/min) than in the N group (17.5 +/- 8.2 beats/min, P = 0.0008), but it was negatively correlated with the tilt duration to positive response (r = -0.52, P = 0.0032) and the patient age in the entire study population (r = 0.62, P < 0.0001). Results of multiple regression analysis indicated that age, tilt result, and tilt duration were independently associated with the early HR increase. As a result, an early HR increase > or = 18 beats/min, the best apparent cut-off point obtained in our study, was a sensitive (100%) marker for prediction of a positive response at < or = 15 minutes of tilting, but it showed a low specificity (61%). In conclusion, an early HR increase during 80-degree tilting may be only predictive for a positive result < or = 15 minutes because it depends on the tilt duration to a positive response and patient age.