Inferring the location and effect of tumor suppressor genes by instability-selection modeling of allelic-loss data.

Cancerous tumor growth creates cells with abnormal DNA. Allelic-loss experiments identify genomic deletions in cancer cells, but sources of variation and intrinsic dependencies complicate inference about the location and effect of suppressor genes; such genes are the target of these experiments and are thought to be involved in tumor development. We investigate properties of an instability-selection model of allelic-loss data, including likelihood-based parameter estimation and hypothesis testing. By considering a special complete-data case, we derive an approximate calibration method for hypothesis tests of sporadic deletion. Parametric bootstrap and Bayesian computations are also developed. Data from three allelic-loss studies are reanalyzed to illustrate the methods.