Risk factors for poor outcome of untreated arteriovenous malformation.

This study was conducted to determine risk factors for poor outcome in the natural history of arteriovenous malformation (AVM). We statistically analysed the correlation between clinical or angiographical findings and clinical outcomes for 55 cases of untreated AVM. Subsequent haemorrhage from AVMs was the only significant risk factor for poor outcome (P< 0.0001). The odds ratio was 44.56 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) from 4.80 to 413.90. Risk factors for subsequent haemorrhage from AVMs were also determined. The size (P = 0.0483) and location (P = 0.0147) of an AVM were significant risk factors for subsequent haemorrhage. The odds ratios were 3.97 with a 95% CI from 1.18 to 13.33 and 3.89 with a 95% CI from 1.10 to 13.72, respectively. AVMs of more than 60 mm, and deep or infratentorial AVMs had more chance of subsequent haemorrhage, and hence of a poor outcome. We propose using an aggressive multidisciplinary approach to treating these AVMs. Copyright 2000 Harcourt Publishers Ltd.