Cytokine secretion in mixed lymphocyte culture: a prognostic indicator of renal allograft rejection in addition to HLA mismatching.

We have previously demonstrated significant inter-individual variations in cytokine protein secretion between normal individuals and patients prior to renal transplantation. In this study, pre-transplant patient vs. donor mixed lymphocyte cultures (MLC) were set up between 57 renal allograft patient/donor pairs, and secretion of cytokine protein (IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-10 and IFN-gamma) into the culture supernatant measured by ELISA. Significant inter-individual variations in protein secretion in MLC were observed for all cytokines studied. Univariate analysis demonstrated that high levels of IFN-gamma and IL-10 in MLC and spontaneous IL-4, together with female donor sex and a high degree of HLA mismatching (especially HLA-DR) were significantly associated with rejection. However, multivariate analysis revealed the greatest risk of rejection (RR = 25.5, P = 0.003) was associated with a combination of high IL-10 secretion in MLC and mismatching for at least four HLA antigens (HLA-A, -B and -DR). It remains to be determined whether cytokine secretion in MLC is linked to cytokine gene polymorphisms. In future, assays for measuring either cytokine secretion or genetic polymorphisms may prove to be useful in aiding donor selection and tailoring immunosuppressive therapy.