Literature DB >> 10770349

Modeling HIV risk.

D C Bell1, R A Trevino.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To provide HIV risk estimates for specific local population subgroups using an HIV risk index combining HIV risk behaviors, prevalence rates, and transmission probabilities.
METHODS: A sample of 270 individuals was studied. Respondents described sexual and injection risk behaviors and partners in the previous 30 days. An HIV risk index was computed for each individual, combining reported sexual and injecting risk behaviors, HIV prevalence estimates for partners and HIV transmission probabilities for each of the risk behaviors. Partner HIV prevalence rates were estimated from a national sample, and HIV transmission probabilities were obtained from previously published studies.
RESULTS: Projected risk estimates were found to differ a great deal within major demographic categories. Highest 10-year risk was found among African-American male gay injectors (72%) and the lowest among white male heterosexual noninjectors (<.01%).
CONCLUSIONS: The method used here for estimating HIV risk can be calculated for specific at-risk population subgroups of any size and composition, including individuals. By understanding which specific subpopulations are at risk, specific interventions and public health campaigns may be better targeted.

Mesh:

Year:  1999        PMID: 10770349     DOI: 10.1097/00126334-199911010-00010

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr        ISSN: 1525-4135            Impact factor:   3.731


  4 in total

Review 1.  Maintenance of endemicity in urban environments: a hypothesis linking risk, network structure and geography.

Authors:  R Rothenberg
Journal:  Sex Transm Infect       Date:  2007-02       Impact factor: 3.519

2.  Aggregate versus individual-level sexual behavior assessment: how much detail is needed to accurately estimate HIV/STI risk?

Authors:  Steven D Pinkerton; Carol L Galletly; Timothy L McAuliffe; Wayne DiFranceisco; H Fisher Raymond; Harrell W Chesson
Journal:  Eval Rev       Date:  2010-02

3.  When are declines in condom use while using PrEP a concern? Modelling insights from a Hillbrow, South Africa case study.

Authors:  Hannah Grant; Zindoga Mukandavire; Robyn Eakle; Holly Prudden; Gabriela B Gomez; Helen Rees; Charlotte Watts
Journal:  J Int AIDS Soc       Date:  2017-09-20       Impact factor: 5.396

4.  Cost-Effectiveness of Combined Sexual and Injection Risk Reduction Interventions among Female Sex Workers Who Inject Drugs in Two Very Distinct Mexican Border Cities.

Authors:  Jose L Burgos; Thomas L Patterson; Joshua S Graff-Zivin; James G Kahn; M Gudelia Rangel; M Remedios Lozada; Hugo Staines; Steffanie A Strathdee
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2016-02-18       Impact factor: 3.752

  4 in total

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