BACKGROUND: Changes in service provision, secular trends in substance misuse and changing social structures might affect outcome in psychosis. AIMS: To assess the three-year outcome of an inception cohort of first-episode psychoses treated in a modern, community-oriented service; to compare outcomes with an earlier cohort treated in hospital-based care; and to examine the predictive validity of ICD-10 diagnostic criteria. METHOD: Three-year follow-up (1995-1997) of an inception cohort of first-episode psychoses and comparison with two-year follow-up (1980-1982) of the Determinants of Outcome of Severe Mental Disorders (DOSMED) Nottingham cohort. RESULTS: On most outcome measures, non-affective psychoses had a worse outcome than affective psychoses. Affective psychoses had better outcome than previously reported. Substance-related psychoses had very poor occupational outcome. Similar proportions of the current and DOSMED cohort were in remission but the former were rated as having greater disability. CONCLUSIONS: In a modern community service, 30-60% of patients with first-episode psychoses experience a good three-year outcome. The ICD-10 criteria have good predictive validity.
BACKGROUND: Changes in service provision, secular trends in substance misuse and changing social structures might affect outcome in psychosis. AIMS: To assess the three-year outcome of an inception cohort of first-episode psychoses treated in a modern, community-oriented service; to compare outcomes with an earlier cohort treated in hospital-based care; and to examine the predictive validity of ICD-10 diagnostic criteria. METHOD: Three-year follow-up (1995-1997) of an inception cohort of first-episode psychoses and comparison with two-year follow-up (1980-1982) of the Determinants of Outcome of Severe Mental Disorders (DOSMED) Nottingham cohort. RESULTS: On most outcome measures, non-affective psychoses had a worse outcome than affective psychoses. Affective psychoses had better outcome than previously reported. Substance-related psychoses had very poor occupational outcome. Similar proportions of the current and DOSMED cohort were in remission but the former were rated as having greater disability. CONCLUSIONS: In a modern community service, 30-60% of patients with first-episode psychoses experience a good three-year outcome. The ICD-10 criteria have good predictive validity.
Authors: Donal O'Keeffe; Ailish Hannigan; Roisin Doyle; Anthony Kinsella; Ann Sheridan; Aine Kelly; Kevin Madigan; Elizabeth Lawlor; Mary Clarke Journal: Aust N Z J Psychiatry Date: 2019-02-06 Impact factor: 5.744