Increase in plasma IL-10 levels and rapid loss of CD4+ T cells among HIV-infected individuals in south India.

Increased levels of immune activation among HIV patients from developing countries are believed to accelerate and/or enhance the shift to a Th2 cytokine environment, which in turn may result in a more rapid progression to AIDS. In support of this hypothesis, we present data from a cohort of 35 HIV+ individuals in southern India. Among asymptomatic individuals in this cohort, a dramatic increase in plasma interleukin (IL)-10 coincided with rapid decrease in CD4 counts and progression to AIDS. Serum IL-10 levels were significantly higher after 6 months of follow up (P=0.01), while CD4 counts declined at a rate of 280 cells/ul per year, roughly 3 times the rate of decline reported for HIV+ asymptomatic subjects in developed countries. Changes in serum IL-10 levels and CD4 counts fell short of statistically significant correlation (P=0.1). Among AIDS patients in this cohort, the mean period from diagnosis of AIDS to death was <5 months and is in agreement with an earlier report of rapid progression in India.