How many myeloid post-progenitor cells have to be transplanted to completely abrogate neutropenia after peripheral blood progenitor cell transplantation? Results of a computer simulation.

Although hematopoietic recovery following high-dose chemotherapy (HD-CT) and peripheral blood progenitor cell (PBPC) transplantation is rapid, there is still a 5- to 7-day period of severe neutropenia which, theoretically, might be abrogated by an additional transplantation of more differentiated myeloid post-progenitor cells (MPPC). However, both the number of MPPC required to abrogate neutropenia as well as the optimum scheduling of MPPC infusions are currently unknown. Therefore, these questions were addressed by applying a computer model of human granulopoiesis. First, model calculations simulating varying levels of chemotherapy dose intensity were performed and compared with typical clinical neutrophil recovery curves. Using this approach, the data for HD-CT without PBPC transplantation could be reproduced by assuming a reduction of stem cells, committed granulopoietic progenitors and proliferating precursors to about 0.001% of normal. PBPC-supported HD-CT was reproduced by increasing the starting values to at least 0.1%, which corresponded to about 1 to 2 x 10(5)/kg transplanted CFU-GM. Interestingly, reproduction of PBPC-supported HD-CT data could be observed for a wide range of starting values (0.1%-10% of normal), thus confirming the clinical observation that hematopoietic recovery after PBPCT cannot be improved by increasing the dose of transplanted cells over a certain threshold. Using the same simulation model, we then studied the effects of an additional MPPC transplantation. The results showed, that at least 5.7 X 10(8) MPPC/kg have to be provided in addition to the normal PBPC graft to avoid neutropenia <100/microL, and that MPPC are best transplanted on days 0 and 6 after HD-CT. Assuming a 100- to 120-fold cellular ex-vivo expansion rate and MPPC representing about 70% of total expanded cells, 5.7 X 10(8) MPPC/kg could be generated starting from 1 to 2 leukapheresis preparations with about 7 to 8 x 10(6) CD34+ PBPC/kg. Considering furthermore, that only a fraction of ex-vivo generated cells will seed and effectively produce neutrophils in-vivo, the required number of MPPC is most likely even higher and, therefore, might be difficult to be achieved clinically. However, the validity of the model results remains to be proven in appropriate clinical studies.