| Literature DB >> 10309559 |
Abstract
Between 1950 and 1980, the physician fee component of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 488 percent. In contrast, an index of physician fees adjusted for 1) overall inflation, and 2) the declining proportion which is paid out-of-pocket by the patient, declined over the same 30-year period. This last observation, pointing to the erosion of the market, is important for structuring price competition for physician services. For insured patients, out-of-pocket payments arise from deductibles, coinsurance and limits, each of which is briefly discussed in this article. Following a review of Medicare Part B physician reimbursement, the paper shows that limits can be used to strengthen the incentive which insured patients have to search for less expensive medical care.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 1981 PMID: 10309559 PMCID: PMC4191231
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Health Care Financ Rev ISSN: 0195-8631
Coefficients of Variation for Physicians' Fees in Selected Places
| Specialty | California | Georgia | Chicago | New York City |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| General Practitioner | ||||
| Initial Office Visit | .31 | .52 | .364 | .332 |
| Follow-Up Visit | .25 | .25 | .209 | .205 |
| Specialist | ||||
| Initial Office Visit | .49 | .74 | .424 | .241 |
| Appendectomy | .19 | .25 | .148 | .115 |
Chicago and New York specialist data are for General Surgeon.
Source: New York and Chicago—Newhouse and Sloan (1972); California and Georgia—Cantwell (1977). The table is reproduced from Juba (1979).
Source of Funds, Prices and Expenditures for Physician Services, 1950-1980
| 1950 | 1960 | 1965 | 1970 | 1975 | 1980 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of Funds (%) | ||||||
| 1. Direct Consumer Payments | 83.2 | 65.4 | 61.3 | 45.1 | 36.2 | 37.3 |
| 2. Private (Insurance and Other) | 11.7 | 28.2 | 31.8 | 34.0 | 37.7 | 36.4 |
| 3. Public Programs | 5.2 | 6.4 | 6.9 | 20.9 | 26.2 | 26.4 |
| Price Indices | ||||||
| 4. Consumer Price Index | 72.1 | 88.7 | 94.5 | 116.3 | 161.2 | 246.8 |
| 5. Physician Fee Component of CPI | 55.2 | 77.0 | 88.3 | 121.4 | 169.4 | 269.3 |
| 6. Inflation-adjusted Price (Row 5÷Row 4×100) | 76.6 | 86.8 | 93.4 | 104.4 | 105.0 | 109.1 |
| 7. Direct Price (Row 5 × Row 1) | 45.9 | 50.4 | 54.1 | 54.8 | 61.3 | 100.4 |
| 8. Inflation-adjusted Direct Price (Row 7 ÷ Row 4 × 100) | 63.7 | 56.8 | 57.2 | 47.1 | 38.0 | 40.7 |
| Expenditures ($) | ||||||
| 9. Aggregate (Billions) | 2.7 | 5.7 | 8.5 | 14.3 | 24.9 | 46.6 |
| 10. Per Capita | 17.76 | 30.92 | 42.82 | 68.74 | 113.38 | 201.18 |
| 11. Inflation-adjusted Expenditures Per Capita (Row 10 ÷ Row 4×100) | 24.63 | 34.86 | 45.33 | 59.11 | 70.33 | 81.52 |
| 12. Direct Expenditures Per Capita (Row 10 × Row 1) | 14.78 | 20.22 | 26.26 | 31.00 | 41.04 | 75.04 |
| 13. Inflation-adjusted Direct Expenditures Per Capita (Row 12 ÷ Row 4 × 100) | 20.50 | 22.79 | 27.79 | 26.66 | 25.46 | 30.41 |
1980 price indices are for all urban consumers; earlier price indices are for urban wage earners and clerical workers.
Source: Gibson and Waldo (1981), Table 5 for rows 1-3, 9 and 10; Bureau of Labor Statistics communication for rows 4 and 5; calculation by the author for remainder.
Figure 1Expenditures Per Capita and Prices for Physician Services, 1950-1980
Figure 2Relationship Between Physician's Fee and Direct Price to the Medicare Patient
Distribution of Hypothetical Minimum Prices
| No. of Physicians Canvassed | Probability | Expected Minimum Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | $200 | $300 | $400 | ||
| 1 | 1/4 | 1/4 | 1/4 | 1/4 | $250.00 |
| 2 | 7/16 | 5/16 | 3/16 | 1/16 | 184.50 |
| 3 | 37/64 | 19/64 | 7/64 | 1/64 | 156.25 |
| 4 | 175/256 | 65/256 | 15/256 | 1/256 | 138.28 |
| ∞ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
Based on a multinomial distribution. A similar table based on a binomial distribution appears in Stigler (1961).
Patient and Government Savings to Search Under Three Programs (No Deductible)
A. Prevailing Charge at 75th Percentile ($300), 20% Coinsurance.
B. Prevailing Charge at 50th Percentile ($200), 20% Coinsurance.
C. Prevailing Charge at 50th Percentile ($200), No Coinsurance
| Number of Physicians Canvassed | Expected | Expected | Beneficiary Expected Savings | Expected Program Cost | Program Expected Savings | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Program A | 1 | $250.00 | $ 70.00 | $180.00 | ||
| 2 | 187.50 | 42.50 | $27.50 | 145.00 | $ 35.00 | |
| 3 | 156.25 | 32.50 | 10.00 | 123.75 | 21.25 | |
| 4 | 138.28 | 27.97 | 4.53 | 110.31 | 13.44 | |
| ∞ | 100.00 | 20.00 | 7.97 | 80.00 | 30.31 | |
|
|
| |||||
| 50.00 | 100.00 | |||||
| Program B | 1 | $250.00 | $110.00 | $140.00 | ||
| 2 | 187.50 | 62.50 | $47.50 | 125.00 | $ 15.00 | |
| 3 | 156.25 | 42.50 | 20.00 | 113.75 | 11.25 | |
| 4 | 138.28 | 32.97 | 9.53 | 105.31 | 8.44 | |
| ∞ | 100.00 | 20.00 | 12.97 | 80.00 | 25.31 | |
|
|
| |||||
| 90.00 | 60.00 | |||||
| Program C | 1 | $250.00 | $ 75.00 | $175.00 | ||
| 2 | 187.50 | 31.25 | $43.75 | 156.25 | $ 18.75 | |
| 3 | 156.25 | 14.07 | 17.18 | 142.18 | 14.07 | |
| 4 | 138.28 | 6.64 | 7.43 | 131.64 | 10.54 | |
| ∞ | 100.00 | -0- | 6.64 | 100.00 | 31.64 | |
|
|
| |||||
| 75.00 | 75.00 |
From Table 3.
Expected Direct Expenditures =